Projected Income Statement: Alstom

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alstom

Forecast Balance Sheet - Alstom
Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 2,085 2,135 2,994 522 1,258 1,046 1,558 1,089
Change - 2.4% 40.23% -82.57% 141% -16.85% 48.95% -30.1%
Announcement Date 11/05/22 10/05/23 08/05/24 14/05/25 13/05/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alstom

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 428 431 485 482 567 694.1 739.9 774.1
Change - 0.7% 12.53% -0.62% 17.63% 22.42% 6.58% 4.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -992 199 -567 490 324 -1,593 321.7 351.4
Change - 120.06% -384.92% 186.42% -33.88% -591.57% 120.2% 9.23%
Announcement Date 11/05/22 10/05/23 08/05/24 14/05/25 13/05/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alstom

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.62% 10.53% 10.4% 11.09% 10.33% 7.74% 9.51% 9.85%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.96% 5.16% 5.66% 6.37% 6.09% 3.73% 6.01% 6.53%
EBT Margin (%) -1.17% -1.1% -1.44% 1.35% 1.98% -1.3% 2.91% 3.74%
Net margin (%) -3.76% -0.8% -1.75% 0.81% 1.69% 0.03% 2.9% 3.24%
FCF margin (%) -6.41% 1.21% -3.22% 2.65% 1.69% -7.99% 1.53% 1.59%
FCF / Net Income (%) 170.74% -150.76% 183.5% 328.86% 100% -28,744.12% 52.68% 49.09%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.21% 0.94% 0.14% 1.45% 0.93% -0.03% 1.86% 2.14%
ROE 3.98% 3.26% 0.5% 4.78% 3.07% 5.18% 6.08% 6.84%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.27x 1.23x 1.63x 0.25x 0.64x 0.68x 0.78x 0.5x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.1x 10.73x -5.28x 1.07x 3.88x -0.66x 4.84x 3.1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.77% 2.61% 2.75% 2.61% 2.96% 3.48% 3.51% 3.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.05% 24.8% 26.46% 23.5% 28.62% 44.99% 36.87% 35.55%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -43.15% 216.58% -85.54% 98.37% 175% -43.58% 229.96% 220.27%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.541 1.604 -0.2132 2.152 1.915 -1.358 2.127 2.48
Change - 204.07% -113.29% 1,109.47% -11.04% -170.91% 256.68% 16.59%
Dividend per Share 1 0.25 0.25 - - - 0.2234 0.3484 0.416
Change - 0% - - - - 55.91% 19.41%
Book Value Per Share 1 23.86 23.96 22.57 22.67 22.91 22.79 23.3 24.65
Change - 0.39% -5.81% 0.48% 1.06% -0.56% 2.24% 5.81%
EPS 1 -1.56 -0.35 -0.81 0.31 0.6 0.1816 1.296 1.57
Change - 77.56% -131.43% 138.27% 93.55% -69.74% 613.62% 21.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,73,392 3,80,453 3,84,291 4,61,511 4,62,030 4,62,616 4,62,616 4,62,616
Announcement Date 11/05/22 10/05/23 08/05/24 14/05/25 13/05/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 61.3x 8.59x
PBR 0.49x 0.48x
EV / Sales 0.31x 0.32x
Yield 2.01% 3.13%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Alstom


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Alstom
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Alstom
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Alstom
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
11.12EUR
Average target price
15.67EUR
Spread / Average Target
+40.88%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Alstom