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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 36.60 EUR | -1.88% |
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-17.38% | -0.11% |
| 24/07 | SBG Securities Upgrades Swatch Group to Hold, Boosts PT | MT |
| 23/07 | AlphaValue/Baader Europe Upgrades Swatch Group to Reduce, Trims PT | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Swatch Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 7,313 | 7,499 | 7,888 | 6,735 | 6,280 | 6,546 | 6,910 | 7,210 |
| Change | - | 2.54% | 5.19% | -14.62% | -6.76% | 4.23% | 5.56% | 4.35% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,459 | 1,565 | 1,581 | 720 | 558 | 731.6 | 975.7 | 1,130 |
| Change | - | 7.27% | 1.02% | -54.46% | -22.5% | 31.12% | 33.35% | 15.8% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,021 | 1,158 | 1,191 | 304 | 135 | 336.8 | 552.9 | 696.6 |
| Change | - | 13.42% | 2.85% | -74.48% | -55.59% | 149.5% | 64.14% | 25.99% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -10 | -62 | -41 | 39 | 13 | -9 | -20.5 | -20 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,011 | 1,096 | 1,152 | 345 | 158 | 238.1 | 507.9 | 641.6 |
| Change | - | 8.41% | 5.11% | -70.05% | -54.2% | 50.67% | 113.35% | 26.33% |
| Net income 1 | 765 | 807 | 869 | 193 | 3 | 204.5 | 360.3 | 453.3 |
| Change | - | 5.49% | 7.68% | -77.79% | -98.45% | 6,715.55% | 76.23% | 25.81% |
| Announcement Date | 25/01/22 | 24/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 30/01/25 | 30/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Swatch Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -2,556 | -2,538 | -1,986 | -1,374 | -1,193 | -1,160 | -1,138 | -1,118 |
| Change | - | 0.7% | 21.75% | 30.82% | 13.17% | 2.77% | 1.9% | 1.76% |
| Announcement Date | 25/01/22 | 24/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 30/01/25 | 30/01/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Swatch Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 295 | 387 | 785 | 549 | 451 | 380.6 | 418 | 425.1 |
| Change | - | 31.19% | 102.84% | -30.06% | -17.85% | -15.61% | 9.84% | 1.7% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,003 | 337 | -170 | -216 | 56 | 449.3 | 577.1 | 420.6 |
| Change | - | -66.4% | -150.45% | -27.06% | 125.93% | 702.32% | 28.44% | -27.12% |
| Announcement Date | 25/01/22 | 24/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 30/01/25 | 30/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Swatch Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 19.95% | 20.87% | 20.04% | 10.69% | 8.89% | 11.18% | 14.12% | 15.67% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 13.96% | 15.44% | 15.1% | 4.51% | 2.15% | 5.15% | 8% | 9.66% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 13.82% | 14.62% | 14.6% | 5.12% | 2.52% | 3.64% | 7.35% | 8.9% |
| Net margin (%) | 10.46% | 10.76% | 11.02% | 2.87% | 0.05% | 3.12% | 5.21% | 6.29% |
| FCF margin (%) | 13.72% | 4.49% | -2.16% | -3.21% | 0.89% | 6.86% | 8.35% | 5.83% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 131.11% | 41.76% | -19.56% | -111.92% | 1,866.67% | 219.74% | 160.15% | 92.78% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 5.76% | 5.85% | 6.18% | 1.37% | 0.02% | 0.91% | 1.58% | 1.96% |
| ROE | 6.82% | 6.86% | 7.19% | 1.59% | 0.03% | 1.76% | 3.01% | 3.72% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.03% | 5.16% | 9.95% | 8.15% | 7.18% | 5.81% | 6.05% | 5.9% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 20.22% | 24.73% | 49.65% | 76.25% | 80.82% | 52.02% | 42.85% | 37.63% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 29.41% | 114.84% | -461.76% | -254.17% | 805.36% | 84.71% | 72.44% | 101.08% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 25.06 | 13.96 | 11.86 | 6.44 | 9.76 | 11.9 | 13.82 | 16.76 |
| Change | - | -44.29% | -15.04% | -45.7% | 51.55% | 21.93% | 16.13% | 21.26% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.598 | 5.171 | 5.619 |
| Change | - | 9.09% | 8.33% | -30.77% | 0% | 2.17% | 12.47% | 8.67% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 224.1 | 232.6 | 236.4 | 236.4 | 224.5 | 223.4 | 225.7 | 229.5 |
| Change | - | 3.76% | 1.65% | -0.01% | -5.01% | -0.51% | 1.02% | 1.7% |
| EPS 1 | 14.77 | 15.56 | 16.75 | 3.74 | 0.05 | 4.767 | 7.605 | 9.777 |
| Change | - | 5.35% | 7.65% | -77.67% | -98.66% | 9,434.12% | 59.53% | 28.55% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 51,771 | 51,808 | 51,836 | 51,872 | 51,767 | 51,996 | 51,996 | 51,996 |
| Announcement Date | 25/01/22 | 24/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 30/01/25 | 30/01/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 35.6x | 22.3x |
| PBR | 0.76x | 0.75x |
| EV / Sales | 1.18x | 1.12x |
| Yield | 2.71% | 3.04% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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