Projected Income Statement: Oriental Land Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Oriental Land Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -44,589 7,780 -57,264 -1,88,061 -1,94,656 -2,70,392 -1,82,796 -2,08,025
Change - 117.45% -836.04% -228.41% -3.51% -38.91% 15.85% -13.8%
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 26/04/24 28/04/25 28/04/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Oriental Land Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,08,322 1,00,269 99,472 72,080 90,232 86,269 1,96,271 1,70,651
Change - -7.43% -0.79% -27.54% 25.18% -4.39% 88.32% -13.05%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,32,156 -45,667 23,303 1,25,594 -57,752 95,012 -34,550 43,592
Change - 65.44% 151.03% 438.96% -145.98% 264.52% -138.6% 226.17%
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 26/04/24 28/04/25 28/04/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Oriental Land Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -0.05% 18.8% 32.61% 34.3% 34.96% 33.35% 33.06% 33.87%
EBIT Margin (%) -26.96% 2.8% 23.02% 26.75% 25.33% 23.9% 23.5% 24.1%
EBT Margin (%) -39.75% 4.24% 23.19% 26.84% 25.55% 24.15% 23.92% 24.48%
Net margin (%) -31.77% 2.93% 16.71% 19.44% 18.28% 17.3% 16.73% 17.04%
FCF margin (%) -77.47% -16.56% 4.82% 20.31% -8.5% 13.49% -4.68% 5.63%
FCF / Net Income (%) 243.88% -566.1% 28.86% 104.47% -46.51% 77.95% -27.99% 33.02%

Profitability

        
ROA -4.8% 0.76% 9.75% 12.96% 12.41% 11.06% 8.03% 7.48%
ROE -6.9% 1.08% 10.2% 13.5% 12.9% 11.7% 10.83% 10.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.15x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.17x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 63.5% 36.37% 20.59% 11.65% 13.28% 12.24% 26.6% 22.03%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -1,20,357.78% 193.44% 63.15% 33.98% 37.99% 36.72% 80.44% 65.05%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -81.97% -219.57% 426.86% 57.39% -156.24% 90.8% -568.08% 391.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -5.064 31.86 77.58 101.9 115.5 114.9 125.9 114.5
Change - 729.15% 143.49% 31.34% 13.33% -0.47% 14.56% -9.04%
Dividend per Share 1 5.2 5.6 8 13 14 15 16.42 18.4
Change - 7.69% 42.86% 62.5% 7.69% 7.14% 10.94% 12.04%
Book Value Per Share 1 464.1 461.8 506.5 579.6 596.4 670.9 721.9 788
Change - -0.5% 9.67% 14.42% 2.9% 12.49% 10.14% 9.16%
EPS 1 -33.1 4.926 49.29 73.39 75.62 74.34 75.32 80.83
Change - 114.88% 900.61% 48.89% 3.04% -1.69% -0.8% 7.32%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 16,37,231 16,37,602 16,37,863 16,38,373 16,38,888 16,39,717 16,39,717 16,39,717
Announcement Date 28/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 26/04/24 28/04/25 28/04/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E ratio 36.3x 29x
PBR 4.02x 3.02x
EV / Sales 5.9x 4.6x
Yield 0.56% 0.75%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
2,180.50JPY
Average target price
3,130.55JPY
Spread / Average Target
+43.57%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 4661 Stock
  4. Financials Oriental Land Co., Ltd.