Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 1,96,458 1,94,448 2,07,167 1,95,514 2,66,003 2,97,394 - -
Change - -1.02% 6.54% -5.62% 36.05% 11.8% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 2,04,649 2,03,482 2,19,178 2,13,458 2,89,870 3,30,508 3,25,211 3,18,274
Change - -0.57% 7.71% -2.61% 35.8% 14.02% -1.6% -2.13%
P/E 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 16.5x 19.2x 22.2x 19x 16.5x
PBR 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.52x 5.73x 6.26x 5.83x 5.24x
PEG - -0.4x 0x -1x 0.9x -9.68x 1.1x 1.1x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.81x 3.85x 4.44x 3.78x 4.69x 5.16x 4.87x 4.58x
EV / Revenue 3.96x 4.03x 4.7x 4.13x 5.11x 5.74x 5.32x 4.9x
EV / EBITDA 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 10.2x 12.4x 14.3x 13x 11.7x
EV / EBIT 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 10.9x 13.2x 15.2x 13.8x 12.4x
EV / FCF 15.4x 17x 16.6x 13.1x 16.5x 22.8x 20.1x 16.9x
FCF Yield 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 7.61% 6.07% 4.38% 4.96% 5.93%
Dividend per Share 2 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 - 4.376 4.564 4.749
Rate of return 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.94% - 2.8% 2.92% 3.04%
EPS 2 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.045 8.252 9.485
Distribution rate 31.4% 110% 53.5% 65.1% - 62.1% 55.3% 50.1%
Net sales 1 51,626 50,545 46,660 51,722 56,674 57,584 61,123 64,991
EBITDA 1 18,246 18,613 17,937 21,006 23,415 23,083 25,093 27,161
EBIT 1 16,588 16,665 16,372 19,494 21,889 21,778 23,631 25,619
Net income 1 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,939 13,967 13,780 15,358 17,285
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 33,114 27,817 20,880
Reference price 2 87.82 90.40 100.79 97.79 138.63 156.46 156.46 156.46
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 22,37,092 21,50,980 20,55,460 19,99,270 19,18,792 19,00,715 - -
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 31/01/24 31/01/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
35.03x12.19x25.61x0.59% 1,02400Cr
27.48x6.29x17.54x2.1% 62TCr
32.57x7.42x15.35x2.76% 44TCr
19.7x4.68x11.59x2.83% 35TCr
21.76x4.48x12.7x1.96% 26TCr
13.48x5.05x10.4x3.71% 21TCr
25.29x6.61x11.66x2.62% 21TCr
-46.92x5.63x31.08x2.53% 16TCr
12.69x3.11x7.86x6.88% 14TCr
Average 15.68x 6.16x 15.98x 2.89% 37.99TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 24.04x 7.68x 18.14x 2.14%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield