Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 1,96,458 1,94,448 2,07,167 1,95,514 2,66,003 3,06,772 - -
Change - -1.02% 6.54% -5.62% 36.05% 15.33% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 2,04,649 2,03,482 2,19,178 2,13,458 2,89,870 3,39,451 3,34,589 3,27,645
Change - -0.57% 7.71% -2.61% 35.8% 17.1% -1.43% -2.08%
P/E 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 16.5x 19.2x 22.9x 19.5x 17x
PBR 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.52x 5.73x 6.45x 6.02x 5.41x
PEG - -0.4x 0x -1x 0.9x -9.99x 1.1x 1.2x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.81x 3.85x 4.44x 3.78x 4.69x 5.32x 5x 4.71x
EV / Revenue 3.96x 4.03x 4.7x 4.13x 5.11x 5.89x 5.46x 5.03x
EV / EBITDA 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 10.2x 12.4x 14.6x 13.3x 12x
EV / EBIT 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 10.9x 13.2x 15.6x 14.1x 12.8x
EV / FCF 15.4x 17x 16.6x 13.1x 16.5x 22.1x 19.8x 16.9x
FCF Yield 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 7.61% 6.07% 4.53% 5.05% 5.91%
Dividend per Share 2 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 - 4.371 4.559 4.741
Rate of return 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.94% - 2.71% 2.82% 2.94%
EPS 2 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.045 8.281 9.485
Distribution rate 31.4% 110% 53.5% 65.1% - 62% 55.1% 50%
Net sales 1 51,626 50,545 46,660 51,722 56,674 57,649 61,309 65,194
EBITDA 1 18,246 18,613 17,937 21,006 23,415 23,251 25,200 27,207
EBIT 1 16,588 16,665 16,372 19,494 21,889 21,800 23,654 25,653
Net income 1 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,939 13,967 13,951 15,502 17,368
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 32,680 27,818 20,873
Reference price 2 87.82 90.40 100.79 97.79 138.63 161.40 161.40 161.40
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 22,37,092 21,50,980 20,55,460 19,99,270 19,18,792 19,00,715 - -
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 31/01/24 31/01/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
32.93x11.96x24.23x0.6% 1,03100Cr
29.57x - - 2.02% 64TCr
32.73x7.6x15.79x2.67% 45TCr
19.66x4.67x11.58x2.83% 35TCr
21.66x5.59x13.87x2.87% 29TCr
20.88x4.29x12.24x2.06% 25TCr
27.19x7.03x12.5x2.35% 23TCr
13.11x4.72x9.86x3.87% 20TCr
-44.72x6.46x25.22x2.25% 18TCr
Average 17.00x 6.54x 15.66x 2.39% 40.33TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 23.95x 7.98x 17.64x 1.98%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA



Year-on-year evolution of the Yield