Projected Income Statement: Mattel, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,094 1,840 1,564 1,069 946 1,129 1,064 1,080
Change - -12.13% -15% -31.65% -11.51% 19.29% -5.76% 1.5%
Announcement Date 09/02/21 09/02/22 08/02/23 07/02/24 04/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 121.6 151.4 186.5 160.3 202.6 185.9 182.4 174.1
Change - 24.47% 23.22% -14.05% 26.39% -8.22% -1.92% -4.52%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 166.9 334.1 256.3 709.5 597.9 490.7 510.1 618.8
Change - 100.19% -23.29% 176.82% -15.73% -17.93% 3.95% 21.31%
Announcement Date 09/02/21 09/02/22 08/02/23 07/02/24 04/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.69% 18.45% 17.82% 17.42% 19.66% 18.51% 19.13% 19.64%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.77% 13.99% 12.67% 11.78% 13.72% 12.98% 13.59% 13.8%
EBT Margin (%) 4.01% 8.63% 9.28% 8.55% 11.57% 10.36% 11.4% 12.03%
Net margin (%) 2.76% 16.55% 7.25% 3.94% 10.07% 8.52% 9.24% 9.76%
FCF margin (%) 3.64% 6.12% 4.72% 13.04% 11.11% 9.05% 9.08% 10.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) 131.83% 37% 65.07% 330.92% 110.35% 106.25% 98.29% 110.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.48% 7.79% 7.15% 6.93% 8.57% 7.68% 8.37% 8.34%
ROE 34.65% 42.63% 24.8% 20.89% 25.2% 22.41% 25.01% 23.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.91x 1.83x 1.62x 1.13x 0.89x 1.12x 0.99x 0.96x
Debt / Free cash flow 12.54x 5.51x 6.1x 1.51x 1.58x 2.3x 2.09x 1.75x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.65% 2.77% 3.43% 2.95% 3.77% 3.43% 3.25% 3.03%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.91% 15.03% 19.26% 16.91% 19.16% 18.53% 16.98% 15.42%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 72.86% 45.3% 72.77% 22.59% 33.89% 37.9% 35.75% 28.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8264 1.359 1.231 2.436 2.332 2.065 2.187 2.38
Change - 64.43% -9.38% 97.8% -4.25% -11.43% 5.88% 8.83%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.716 4.473 5.802 6.167 6.595 6.411 7.647 8.959
Change - 160.66% 29.71% 6.29% 6.94% -2.8% 19.28% 17.16%
EPS 1 0.36 2.53 1.1 0.6 1.58 1.438 1.68 1.838
Change - 602.78% -56.52% -45.45% 163.33% -8.99% 16.83% 9.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,48,040 3,50,341 3,54,402 3,53,233 3,36,900 3,10,824 3,10,824 3,10,824
Announcement Date 09/02/21 09/02/22 08/02/23 07/02/24 04/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14.9x 12.8x
PBR 3.35x 2.81x
EV / Sales 1.44x 1.38x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
21.49USD
Average target price
24.50USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.01%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MAT Stock
  4. Financials Mattel, Inc.