Projected Income Statement: Mattel, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,840 1,564 1,069 946 1,089 1,435 1,494 1,472
Change - -15% -31.65% -11.51% 15.12% 31.81% 4.11% -1.47%
Announcement Date 09/02/22 08/02/23 07/02/24 04/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 151.4 186.5 160.3 202.6 182 220 207.8 208.5
Change - 23.22% -14.05% 26.39% -10.17% 20.86% -5.55% 0.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 334.1 256.3 709.5 597.9 411.3 163.8 417 538.4
Change - -23.29% 176.82% -15.73% -31.21% -60.18% 154.59% 29.13%
Announcement Date 09/02/22 08/02/23 07/02/24 04/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mattel, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.45% 17.82% 17.42% 19.66% 17.34% 15.41% 15.98% 15.92%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.99% 12.67% 11.78% 13.72% 11.59% 10.39% 10.98% 11.07%
EBT Margin (%) 8.63% 9.28% 8.55% 11.57% 8.59% 10.13% 9.35% 9.39%
Net margin (%) 16.55% 7.25% 3.94% 10.07% 7.44% 8.52% 7.29% 7.44%
FCF margin (%) 6.12% 4.72% 13.04% 11.11% 7.69% 2.89% 7% 8.77%
FCF / Net Income (%) 37% 65.07% 330.92% 110.35% 103.45% 33.91% 95.98% 117.79%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.79% 7.15% 6.93% 8.57% 6.03% 5.73% 5.99% 7.5%
ROE 42.63% 24.8% 20.89% 25.2% 17.68% 17.22% 19.02% 22.48%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.83x 1.62x 1.13x 0.89x 1.17x 1.64x 1.57x 1.51x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.51x 6.1x 1.51x 1.58x 2.65x 8.76x 3.58x 2.73x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.77% 3.43% 2.95% 3.77% 3.4% 3.88% 3.49% 3.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.03% 19.26% 16.91% 19.16% 19.63% 25.17% 21.82% 21.33%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 45.3% 72.77% 22.59% 33.89% 44.25% 134.31% 49.83% 38.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.359 1.231 2.436 2.332 1.844 2.35 2.2 -
Change - -9.38% 97.8% -4.25% -20.94% 27.46% -6.38% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.0833 0.145
Change - - - - - - - 74.01%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.473 5.802 6.167 6.595 7.018 6.87 7.338 7.18
Change - 29.71% 6.29% 6.94% 6.41% -2.1% 6.82% -2.16%
EPS 1 2.53 1.1 0.6 1.58 1.24 1.634 1.522 1.68
Change - -56.52% -45.45% 163.33% -21.52% 31.77% -6.85% 10.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,50,341 3,54,402 3,53,233 3,36,900 3,10,824 2,90,600 2,90,600 2,90,600
Announcement Date 09/02/22 08/02/23 07/02/24 04/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.29x 9.97x
PBR 2.21x 2.07x
EV / Sales 1.03x 0.99x
Yield - 0.55%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
15.18USD
Average target price
18.71USD
Spread / Average Target
+23.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MAT Stock
  4. Financials Mattel, Inc.