Projected Income Statement: Loblaw Companies Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Loblaw Companies Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 5,770 14,114 6,557 17,323 16,274 5,794 5,527 5,307
Change - 144.61% -53.54% 164.19% -6.06% -64.4% -4.61% -3.98%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Loblaw Companies Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 820 1,182 1,571 2,072 2,200 2,322 2,315 2,435
Change - 44.15% 32.91% 31.89% 6.18% 5.55% -0.3% 5.19%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,247 1,959 1,528 3,582 1,671 2,239 2,358 2,535
Change - -12.82% -22% 134.42% -53.35% 33.99% 5.3% 7.52%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Loblaw Companies Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.56% 10.51% 10.94% 11.17% 11.51% 11.56% 11.73% 11.86%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.6% 6.45% 6.87% 7.12% 7.47% 7.53% 7.71% 7.81%
EBT Margin (%) 3.08% 4.59% 4.71% - - - - -
Net margin (%) 2.08% 3.5% 3.38% 3.51% 3.53% 3.34% 3.37% 3.4%
FCF margin (%) 4.26% 3.68% 2.7% 6.02% 2.74% 3.46% 3.56% 3.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) 205.02% 105.15% 80.04% 171.55% 77.54% 103.47% 105.44% 108.66%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.04% 5.14% 5.11% 5.41% 5.4% 6.57% 6.77% 5.5%
ROE 9.86% 16.52% 16.69% 18.35% 23.38% 23.77% 24.39% 22.52%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.14x 2.53x 1.06x 2.61x 2.32x 0.77x 0.71x 0.65x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.57x 7.2x 4.29x 4.84x 9.74x 2.59x 2.34x 2.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.56% 2.22% 2.78% 3.48% 3.61% 3.58% 3.49% 3.55%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.27% 21.16% 25.42% 31.17% 31.32% 30.99% 29.75% 29.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.49% 60.34% 102.81% 57.84% 131.66% 103.71% 98.2% 96.06%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.49 14.12 14.34 - - - - -
Change - -2.55% 1.51% - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 1.28 1.4 1.58 1.743 1.985 2.234 2.391 2.496
Change - 9.37% 12.86% 10.32% 13.88% 12.54% 7.04% 4.37%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - 36.35 38.2 40.52 43.37
Change - - - - - 5.09% 6.07% 7.03%
EPS 1 3.06 5.45 5.75 6.52 6.99 7.26 7.63 8.1
Change - 78.1% 5.5% 13.39% 7.21% 3.86% 5.1% 6.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,48,838 3,35,174 3,24,023 3,13,125 3,01,077 2,97,130 2,97,130 2,97,130
Announcement Date 25/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 30.4x 28.9x
PBR 5.78x 5.45x
EV / Sales 1.1x 1.07x
Yield 1.01% 1.08%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
220.84CAD
Average target price
229.00CAD
Spread / Average Target
+3.69%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. L Stock
  4. Financials Loblaw Companies Limited