Projected Income Statement: Loblaw Companies Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Loblaw Companies Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 5,770 14,114 6,557 17,323 16,274 7,087 6,638 6,631
Change - 144.61% -53.54% 164.19% -6.06% -56.45% -6.34% -0.11%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Loblaw Companies Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 820 1,182 1,571 2,072 2,200 2,249 2,368 2,416
Change - 44.15% 32.91% 31.89% 6.18% 2.22% 5.29% 2.03%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,247 1,959 1,528 3,582 1,671 2,410 2,441 2,632
Change - -12.82% -22% 134.42% -53.35% 44.23% 1.3% 7.81%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Loblaw Companies Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.56% 10.51% 10.94% 11.17% 11.51% 11.43% 11.65% 11.62%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.6% 6.45% 6.87% 7.12% 7.47% 7.61% 7.81% 7.93%
EBT Margin (%) 3.08% 4.59% 4.71% - - - - -
Net margin (%) 2.08% 3.5% 3.38% 3.51% 3.53% 3.24% 3.41% 3.43%
FCF margin (%) 4.26% 3.68% 2.7% 6.02% 2.74% 3.72% 3.67% 3.82%
FCF / Net Income (%) 205.02% 105.15% 80.04% 171.55% 77.54% 114.71% 107.69% 111.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.04% 5.14% 5.11% 5.41% 5.4% 6.5% 6.67% 6.6%
ROE 9.86% 16.52% 16.69% 18.35% 23.38% 23.83% 24.26% 23.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.14x 2.53x 1.06x 2.61x 2.32x 0.96x 0.86x 0.83x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.57x 7.2x 4.29x 4.84x 9.74x 2.94x 2.72x 2.52x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.56% 2.22% 2.78% 3.48% 3.61% 3.47% 3.56% 3.5%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.27% 21.16% 25.42% 31.17% 31.32% 30.33% 30.6% 30.16%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.49% 60.34% 102.81% 57.84% 131.66% 93.32% 96.99% 91.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.623 3.531 3.584 - - - - -
Change - -2.55% 1.51% - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.32 0.35 0.395 0.4358 0.4962 0.5536 0.5935 0.643
Change - 9.37% 12.86% 10.32% 13.88% 11.56% 7.2% 8.33%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - 9.088 9.719 10.44 11.18
Change - - - - - 6.94% 7.42% 7.07%
EPS 1 0.765 1.362 1.438 1.63 1.748 1.76 1.93 2.04
Change - 78.1% 5.5% 13.39% 7.21% 0.72% 9.66% 5.7%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,95,352 13,40,696 12,96,093 12,52,501 12,04,308 11,74,424 11,74,424 11,74,424
Announcement Date 25/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 35.6x 32.4x
PBR 6.44x 5.99x
EV / Sales 1.24x 1.21x
Yield 0.88% 0.95%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
62.58CAD
Average target price
63.45CAD
Spread / Average Target
+1.40%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. L Stock
  4. Financials Loblaw Companies Limited