Stock GO GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP.
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Financials Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Equities

GO

US39874R1014

Food Retail & Distribution

Real-time Estimate Cboe BZX
Other stock markets
 09:30:20 29/04/2024 pm IST 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
25.92 USD -0.97% Intraday chart for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. -5.54% -3.86%
18/04 Canada Targets 12 Foreign Grocers to Lure to Food-Retailing Market -- 2nd Update DJ
18/04 Canada Targets 12 Foreign Grocers to Lure to Food-Retailing Market -- Update DJ

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 2,959 3,820 2,712 2,840 2,676 2,619 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 3,379 4,164 3,024 3,116 2,854 2,829 2,794 2,760
P/E ratio 175 x 37.6 x 44.8 x 44.9 x 34.1 x 30.4 x 26.6 x 20.8 x
Yield - - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 1.16 x 1.22 x 0.88 x 0.79 x 0.67 x 0.6 x 0.55 x 0.5 x
EV / Revenue 1.32 x 1.33 x 0.98 x 0.87 x 0.72 x 0.65 x 0.59 x 0.53 x
EV / EBITDA 19.9 x 18.5 x 15.2 x 13.8 x 11.3 x 10.1 x 9.18 x 8.48 x
EV / FCF 94.8 x 73.9 x 71.7 x 56.6 x 21.2 x 71.1 x 42.6 x 56.3 x
FCF Yield 1.05% 1.35% 1.4% 1.77% 4.71% 1.41% 2.35% 1.78%
Price to Book 3.98 x 4.17 x 2.69 x 2.57 x 2.19 x 1.94 x 1.65 x 1.43 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 88,893 94,151 96,017 97,279 99,269 1,00,087 - -
Reference price 2 33.29 40.57 28.25 29.19 26.96 26.17 26.17 26.17
Announcement Date 24/03/20 02/03/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 27/02/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 2,560 3,135 3,080 3,578 3,969 4,343 4,734 5,193
EBITDA 1 169.8 224.5 198.5 225.9 252.6 280.1 304.2 325.7
EBIT 1 68.34 107.4 89.1 94.99 125.8 141.7 160.6 198
Operating Margin 2.67% 3.43% 2.89% 2.65% 3.17% 3.26% 3.39% 3.81%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 16.78 87.13 77.5 75.75 104.1 125 144.7 176.3
Net income 1 15.42 106.7 62.31 65.05 79.44 87.24 101.2 123.3
Net margin 0.6% 3.4% 2.02% 1.82% 2% 2.01% 2.14% 2.37%
EPS 2 0.1900 1.080 0.6300 0.6500 0.7900 0.8618 0.9840 1.260
Free Cash Flow 1 35.64 56.32 42.2 55.03 134.5 39.78 65.65 49
FCF margin 1.39% 1.8% 1.37% 1.54% 3.39% 0.92% 1.39% 0.94%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 20.98% 25.09% 21.27% 24.36% 53.22% 14.2% 21.58% 15.04%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 231.15% 52.77% 67.73% 84.59% 169.26% 45.6% 64.86% 39.74%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 24/03/20 02/03/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 27/02/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1
Net sales 1 768.9 782.7 831.4 897.7 918.2 930.8 965.5 1,010 1,004 989.8 1,022 1,106 1,116 1,100 1,128
EBITDA 1 51.39 47.4 49.25 60.14 59.1 57.45 63.08 70.52 68.14 50.88 52.25 73.9 80.84 73.71 66.74
EBIT 1 26.14 15.43 19.43 26.91 24.69 23.96 32.82 36.48 37.56 18.93 18.96 40.12 47.18 35.41 34.03
Operating Margin 3.4% 1.97% 2.34% 3% 2.69% 2.57% 3.4% 3.61% 3.74% 1.91% 1.86% 3.63% 4.23% 3.22% 3.02%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 22.19 11.64 15.75 21.76 19.89 18.35 21.56 31.72 33.33 17.48 14.89 36.75 42.54 30.82 29.49
Net income 1 17.14 6.639 11.57 20.09 17.5 15.89 13.72 24.47 27.14 14.11 11.08 25.75 29.24 21.34 20.64
Net margin 2.23% 0.85% 1.39% 2.24% 1.91% 1.71% 1.42% 2.42% 2.7% 1.43% 1.08% 2.33% 2.62% 1.94% 1.83%
EPS 2 0.1700 0.0700 0.1200 0.2000 0.1700 0.1600 0.1400 0.2400 0.2700 0.1400 0.0931 0.2409 0.2922 0.2278 0.2052
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 09/11/21 01/03/22 10/05/22 09/08/22 08/11/22 28/02/23 09/05/23 08/08/23 07/11/23 27/02/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 420 344 311 277 178 210 174 141
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.472 x 1.532 x 1.569 x 1.226 x 0.7036 x 0.7499 x 0.5729 x 0.433 x
Free Cash Flow 1 35.6 56.3 42.2 55 134 39.8 65.6 49
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 12.4% 18.9% 9.31% 9.63% 6.82% 8.79% 8.4% 8.74%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 0.87% 4.57% 2.42% 2.39% 2.77% 3.03% 3.21% -
Assets 1 1,781 2,336 2,578 2,721 2,871 2,880 3,153 -
Book Value Per Share 2 8.370 9.720 10.50 11.40 12.30 13.50 15.90 18.30
Cash Flow per Share 2 1.620 1.840 1.670 1.850 3.010 2.040 2.290 -
Capex 1 97.2 125 123 130 169 171 182 182
Capex / Sales 3.8% 3.99% 4.01% 3.65% 4.26% 3.94% 3.84% 3.51%
Announcement Date 24/03/20 02/03/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 27/02/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C-
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
26.17 USD
Average target price
31.14 USD
Spread / Average Target
+19.00%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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