Projected Income Statement: TVS Motor Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: TVS Motor Company Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,058 12,718 20,026 9,825 11,765 11,844 -3,198 -30,260
Change - 1,102.08% 57.46% -50.94% 19.75% 0.67% -127% -846.22%
Announcement Date 27/04/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 08/05/24 28/04/25 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TVS Motor Company Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5,587 7,413 10,156 10,888 17,985 15,816 15,264 15,705
Change - 32.7% 36.99% 7.21% 65.18% -12.06% -3.49% 2.89%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 20,022 7,562 9,773 25,285 24,672 35,145 43,317 52,167
Change - -62.23% 29.23% 158.72% -2.42% 42.45% 23.25% 20.43%
Announcement Date 27/04/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 08/05/24 28/04/25 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TVS Motor Company Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.53% 9.44% 10.1% 11.01% 12.29% 12.82% 13.07% 13.61%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.58% 6.49% 7.72% 8.81% 10.23% 10.94% 11.34% 11.89%
EBT Margin (%) 4.93% 5.84% 7.57% 8.71% 10.01% 10.49% 11.14% 11.74%
Net margin (%) 3.65% 4.3% 5.63% 6.52% 7.48% 7.84% 8.28% 8.72%
FCF margin (%) 11.95% 3.64% 3.69% 7.92% 6.81% 7.53% 8.18% 8.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 327.14% 84.63% 65.55% 121.39% 91.02% 96.11% 98.82% 99.42%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.26% 8.11% 11.52% 13.86% 15.05% 16.34% 16.97% 17.31%
ROE 15.72% 19.87% 27.43% 30.23% 30.68% 32.24% 30.13% 28.46%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.07x 0.65x 0.75x 0.28x 0.26x 0.2x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.05x 1.68x 2.05x 0.39x 0.48x 0.34x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.34% 3.57% 3.84% 3.41% 4.96% 3.39% 2.88% 2.61%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.11% 37.79% 37.97% 30.98% 40.38% 26.44% 22.06% 19.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 27.9% 98.03% 103.91% 43.06% 72.9% 45% 35.24% 30.11%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 53.89 31.52 41.95 76.13 89.78 106.9 116.4 134.6
Change - -41.5% 33.06% 81.49% 17.94% 19.11% 8.89% 15.56%
Dividend per Share 1 3.5 3.75 5 8 10 13.9 17.74 18.63
Change - 7.14% 33.33% 60% 25% 38.96% 27.67% 5.02%
Book Value Per Share 1 87.78 101.5 127.3 162.7 209.1 266.6 341.9 433.1
Change - 15.64% 25.41% 27.83% 28.53% 27.45% 28.27% 26.67%
EPS 1 12.88 18.81 31.38 43.84 57.05 77.29 92.41 110.7
Change - 46.04% 66.83% 39.71% 30.13% 35.48% 19.56% 19.82%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,75,087 4,75,087 4,75,087 4,75,087 4,75,087 4,75,087 4,75,087 4,75,087
Announcement Date 27/04/21 05/05/22 04/05/23 08/05/24 28/04/25 - - -
1INR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 47.8x 40x
PBR 13.9x 10.8x
EV / Sales 3.78x 3.31x
Yield 0.38% 0.48%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
-
Quality
ESG MSCI
A

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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