Projected Income Statement: Texas Pacific Land Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Texas Pacific Land Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt -281 -428 -511 -725 - - - -
Change - -52.31% -19.39% -41.88% - - - -
Announcement Date 25/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Texas Pacific Land Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 - - - 15.03 51 30 20
Change - - - - - -41.18% -33.33%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 202 249.6 427.9 403.3 506 608 692
Change - 23.6% 71.44% -5.77% - 20.16% 13.82%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Texas Pacific Land Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - 77.36% 84.1% 88.67% 85.73% - 86.22% 85.27% 86.03%
EBIT Margin (%) - 71.81% 80.36% 84.25% 76.96% - 75.09% 75.49% 76.81%
EBT Margin (%) - 72.6% 81.98% 85.23% 81.95% - 77.37% 76.48% 78%
Net margin (%) - 58.19% 59.87% 66.88% 64.23% - 60.43% 59.67% 60.85%
FCF margin (%) - 66.75% 55.35% 64.12% 63.85% - 63.97% 66.81% 68.58%
FCF / Net Income (%) - 114.71% 92.46% 95.87% 99.41% - 105.86% 111.97% 112.7%

Profitability

         
ROA 56.57% 23.23% 34.55% 42.85% 29.9% 28.3% - - -
ROE 84.23% 35.3% 47.49% 62.66% 44.67% 41.73% - - -

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - - - 2.38% - 6.45% 3.3% 1.98%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - - - 2.78% - 7.48% 3.87% 2.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - - 3.73% - 10.08% 4.93% 2.89%

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - 2.678 3.801 6.43 6.046 - 8.162 9.577 -
Change - - 41.93% 69.18% -5.97% - - 17.34% -
Dividend per Share 1 - 1.778 1.222 1.333 1.444 - 2.13 2.24 2.35
Change - - -31.25% 9.09% 8.33% - - 5.16% 4.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 - 2.522 3.87 6.419 5.863 6.573 6.981 8.13 8.82
Change - - 53.44% 65.86% -8.66% 12.11% 6.2% 16.47% 8.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 69,805 69,717 69,340 69,074 68,925 68,938 68,938 68,938
Announcement Date - 25/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 52.4x 45x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 31.9x 27.7x
Yield 0.58% 0.61%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
366.03USD
Average target price
280.83USD
Spread / Average Target
-23.28%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. TPL Stock
  4. Financials Texas Pacific Land Corporation