Projected Income Statement: Nel ASA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nel ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -2,303 -2,700 - -3,341 -1,616 -1,515 -1,211 -949
Change - -17.24% - - 51.63% 6.23% 20.07% 21.64%
Announcement Date 18/02/21 16/02/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nel ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 232.2 377.2 739.8 680.3 264.1 394.6 369.7
Change - 62.43% - -8.05% -61.17% 49.4% -6.31%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -448.1 -826.6 -1,409 -823.5 -454.3 -583.2 -704.2
Change - -84.48% - 41.58% 44.83% -28.36% -20.75%
Announcement Date 18/02/21 16/02/22 28/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nel ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -38.58% -59.55% -78.49% -26.72% -11.57% -36.69% -26.61% -10.39%
EBIT Margin (%) -63.59% -73.04% -128.69% -39.45% -26.05% -63.14% -53.95% -28.62%
EBT Margin (%) 191.07% -211.01% -119.47% -49.21% -17.67% -55.68% -48.66% -26.16%
Net margin (%) 193.58% -208.88% -117.87% -48.23% -16.34% -55.28% -50.05% -26.3%
FCF margin (%) -68.74% -103.59% - -79.49% -55.09% -45.99% -59.44% -47.89%
FCF / Net Income (%) -35.51% 49.59% - 164.82% 337.02% 83.19% 118.76% 182.12%

Profitability

        
ROA - -27.45% - -11.55% -3.45% - - -
ROE -11.44% -31.73% - -14.68% -4.37% -11.31% -9.94% -8.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 35.62% 47.26% - 41.73% 45.51% 26.74% 40.22% 25.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -92.33% -79.36% - -156.18% -393.37% -72.87% -151.16% -242.05%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -51.82% -45.63% - -52.49% -82.61% -58.14% -67.67% -52.5%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.1555 -0.3098 - -0.4054 -0.1446 -0.0784 0.0507 -0.1116
Change - -99.2% - - 64.34% 45.8% 164.75% -319.99%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 3.884 3.473 - 3.752 2.979 2.621 2.428 2.259
Change - -10.6% - - -20.61% -12% -7.37% -6.96%
EPS 1 0.91 -1.15 -0.76 -0.52 -0.15 -0.307 -0.2606 -0.2094
Change - -226.37% 33.91% 31.58% 71.15% -104.66% 15.12% 19.63%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 14,07,401 14,60,396 15,62,907 16,70,907 16,70,907 18,38,040 18,38,040 18,38,040
Announcement Date 18/02/21 16/02/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1NOK
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio -7.07x -8.33x
PBR 0.83x 0.89x
EV / Sales 2.5x 2.83x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
2.170NOK
Average target price
2.208NOK
Spread / Average Target
+1.77%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise