Projected Income Statement: Holcim Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: Holcim Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,977 6,032 7,896 8,448 - 3,656 3,198 2,583
Change - -39.54% 30.9% 6.99% - - -12.53% -19.23%
Announcement Date 25/02/22 24/02/23 28/02/24 28/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Holcim Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,532 1,549 1,505 1,650 1,172 1,281 1,331
Change - 1.11% -2.84% 9.63% - 9.32% 3.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,513 3,013 3,705 3,801 2,017 2,225 2,445
Change - -14.23% 22.97% 2.59% - 10.31% 9.91%
Announcement Date 25/02/22 24/02/23 28/02/24 28/02/25 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Holcim Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.83% 23.68% 24.94% 25.28% 25.39% 25.6% 26.41% 26.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.19% 16.28% 17.62% 19.12% 18.29% 18.66% 19.81% 20.12%
EBT Margin (%) 13.58% 15.61% 15.45% 15.23% 5.94% 16.54% 17.86% 18.17%
Net margin (%) 8.56% 11.33% 11.33% 11.08% 83.81% 12.14% 12.97% 13.54%
FCF margin (%) 13.09% 10.32% 13.72% 14.39% - 12.43% 12.93% 13.83%
FCF / Net Income (%) 152.87% 91.08% 121.08% 129.9% - 102.38% 99.7% 102.09%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.06% 5.63% 5.55% 5.47% - 6.2% 6.6% 6.8%
ROE 8.55% 11.74% 11.19% 10.99% - 11.5% 11.65% 11.96%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.44x 0.87x 1.17x 1.27x - 0.88x 0.7x 0.54x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.84x 2x 2.13x 2.22x - 1.81x 1.44x 1.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.71% 5.31% 5.57% 6.25% - 7.22% 7.44% 7.53%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.1% 22.41% 22.34% 24.71% - 28.21% 28.18% 27.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 43.61% 51.41% 40.62% 43.41% - 58.09% 57.57% 54.45%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.243 7.575 9.609 10.12 - 5.581 6.927 7.516
Change - -8.11% 26.85% 5.31% - - 24.12% 8.51%
Dividend per Share 1 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 - 1.835 2.011 2.193
Change - 13.64% 12% 10.71% - - 9.57% 9.04%
Book Value Per Share 1 45.53 48.72 45.67 48.64 - 29.93 32.42 35.05
Change - 6.99% -6.26% 6.51% - - 8.32% 8.13%
EPS 1 3.73 5.46 5.35 5.22 23.79 3.498 3.965 4.365
Change - 46.38% -2.01% -2.43% 355.75% -85.29% 13.32% 10.09%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,11,712 6,08,010 5,79,125 5,61,823 5,38,766 5,53,125 5,53,125 5,53,125
Announcement Date 25/02/22 24/02/23 28/02/24 28/02/25 27/02/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 18x 15.9x
PBR 2.11x 1.95x
EV / Sales 2.38x 2.21x
Yield 2.91% 3.19%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
63.12CHF
Average target price
78.71CHF
Spread / Average Target
+24.70%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. LHN Stock
  4. Financials Holcim Ltd
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