Projected Income Statement: Embraer S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Embraer S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,392 1,457 1,353 1,040 762 -444 -802 -1,192
Change - 4.67% -7.14% -23.13% -26.73% -158.26% -80.63% -48.63%
Announcement Date 09/03/22 10/03/23 18/03/24 27/02/25 06/03/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Embraer S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 101.7 136.2 238.7 200.4 187.2 462.8 486.3 532.1
Change - 33.92% 75.27% -16.05% -6.59% 147.23% 5.08% 9.41%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 247.1 615.1 378.3 670.9 682.8 352.6 431.5 550.5
Change - 148.93% -38.5% 77.35% 1.77% -48.37% 22.38% 27.6%
Announcement Date 09/03/22 10/03/23 18/03/24 27/02/25 06/03/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Embraer S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.45% 10.11% 10.57% 14.55% 11.08% 12.37% 12.91% 13.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.8% 5.95% 6.53% 11.26% 8.02% 9.36% 9.9% 10.31%
EBT Margin (%) 0.65% -4.53% 2.14% 8.78% 3.53% 7.96% 8.77% 9.6%
Net margin (%) -1.06% -4.08% 3% 5.42% 4.64% 6.04% 7.03% 7.47%
FCF margin (%) 5.89% 13.55% 7.24% 11.05% 9.01% 4.14% 4.5% 5.21%
FCF / Net Income (%) -552.8% -331.77% 241.19% 204% 194.03% 68.54% 63.98% 69.84%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.43% 0.38% 1.57% 4.08% 2.04% 4.37% 5.71% 6.41%
ROE -1.57% 1.47% 6.14% 15.75% 7.07% 13.75% 15.82% 16.73%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.51x 3.18x 2.45x 1.18x 0.91x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 5.63x 2.37x 3.58x 1.55x 1.12x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.42% 3% 4.57% 3.3% 2.47% 5.43% 5.07% 5.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.63% 29.68% 43.23% 22.69% 22.3% 43.93% 39.29% 38.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.16% 22.14% 63.1% 29.87% 27.42% 131.28% 112.71% 96.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 0.3219 0.5028 0.8324
Change - - - - - - 56.19% 65.56%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.777 3.495 3.793 4.187 5.205 5.478 6.394 7.298
Change - -7.47% 8.53% 10.38% 24.31% 5.25% 16.72% 14.15%
EPS 1 -0.0608 -0.2524 0.2135 0.4477 0.4805 0.7946 1.114 1.324
Change - -315.1% 184.6% 109.67% 7.33% 65.37% 40.23% 18.86%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,34,633 7,34,633 7,34,633 7,34,633 7,33,566 7,11,833 7,11,833 7,11,833
Announcement Date 09/03/22 10/03/23 18/03/24 27/02/25 06/03/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 18.3x 13.1x
PBR 2.66x 2.28x
EV / Sales 1.14x 0.98x
Yield 2.21% 3.46%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
14.55USD
Average target price
18.63USD
Spread / Average Target
+28.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. EMBJ3 Stock
  4. Financials Embraer S.A.