Projected Income Statement: Diageo plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,871 16,657 19,195 20,371 21,548 20,969 19,760 18,787
Change - -1.27% 15.24% 6.13% 5.78% -2.69% -5.77% -4.92%
Announcement Date 29/07/21 28/07/22 01/08/23 30/07/24 05/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 874.5 1,330 1,504 1,510 1,549 1,224 1,142 1,090
Change - 52.14% 13.02% 0.42% 2.58% -20.99% -6.67% -4.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,230 3,442 3,511 2,595 2,748 3,198 3,517 3,748
Change - -18.63% 2% -26.08% 5.9% 16.39% 9.96% 6.58%
Announcement Date 29/07/21 28/07/22 01/08/23 30/07/24 05/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.93% 36.4% 35.76% 34.72% 32.82% 32.46% 32.67% 33.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.42% 31.04% 30.7% 29.33% 28.17% 28.31% 28.3% 28.6%
EBT Margin (%) 29.11% 28.39% 27.67% 26.94% 17.47% 24.39% 25.08% 26.07%
Net margin (%) 20.89% 21.03% 21.82% 19.09% 11.63% 17.82% 18.37% 19.1%
FCF margin (%) 23.78% 18.37% 16.1% 12.8% 13.57% 16.13% 17.49% 17.98%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.83% 87.35% 73.78% 67.05% 116.74% 90.56% 95.19% 94.17%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.41% 10.28% 10.26% 8.88% 7.7% 7.16% 7.62% 7.77%
ROE 40.18% 47.91% 47.39% 40.35% 34.54% 31.16% 28.43% 27.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.88x 2.44x 2.46x 2.89x 3.24x 3.26x 3.01x 2.72x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.99x 4.84x 5.47x 7.85x 7.84x 6.56x 5.62x 5.01x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.92% 7.1% 6.9% 7.45% 7.65% 6.17% 5.68% 5.23%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.93% 19.5% 19.28% 21.46% 23.31% 19.02% 17.38% 15.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.67% 38.65% 42.83% 58.19% 56.37% 38.27% 32.48% 29.08%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.171 2.053 1.697 1.833 1.929 2.096 2.195 2.335
Change - -5.45% -17.33% 8.05% 5.19% 8.69% 4.73% 6.34%
Dividend per Share 1 1.013 0.9239 1.019 1.035 1.035 1.036 1.061 1.099
Change - -8.84% 10.34% 1.51% 0% 0.13% 2.38% 3.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.11 4.151 4.394 4.491 4.991 5.531 6.187 6.836
Change - 1% 5.84% 2.21% 11.14% 10.81% 11.87% 10.48%
EPS 1 1.584 1.694 2.095 1.728 1.057 1.609 1.668 1.797
Change - 6.95% 23.65% -17.52% -38.83% 52.24% 3.66% 7.7%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 23,34,775 22,78,906 22,45,879 22,19,979 22,22,295 22,23,471 22,23,471 22,23,471
Announcement Date 29/07/21 28/07/22 01/08/23 30/07/24 05/08/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14x 13.5x
PBR 4.06x 3.63x
EV / Sales 3.58x 3.47x
Yield 4.61% 4.72%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
22.48USD
Average target price
27.60USD
Spread / Average Target
+22.80%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DGE Stock
  4. Financials Diageo plc