Projected Income Statement: Diageo plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,871 16,657 19,195 20,371 21,548 20,309 17,470 15,487
Change - -1.27% 15.24% 6.13% 5.78% -5.75% -13.98% -11.35%
Announcement Date 29/07/21 28/07/22 01/08/23 30/07/24 05/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 874.5 1,330 1,504 1,510 1,549 1,221 1,199 1,153
Change - 52.14% 13.02% 0.42% 2.58% -21.15% -1.81% -3.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,230 3,442 3,511 2,595 2,748 3,065 3,388 3,574
Change - -18.63% 2% -26.08% 5.9% 11.54% 10.53% 5.48%
Announcement Date 29/07/21 28/07/22 01/08/23 30/07/24 05/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.93% 36.4% 35.76% 34.72% 32.82% 32.56% 32.26% 32.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.42% 31.04% 30.7% 29.33% 28.17% 28.41% 27.95% 28.36%
EBT Margin (%) 29.11% 28.39% 27.67% 26.94% 17.47% 24.51% 25.16% 26.69%
Net margin (%) 20.89% 21.03% 21.82% 19.09% 11.63% 17.44% 17.77% 18.91%
FCF margin (%) 23.78% 18.37% 16.1% 12.8% 13.57% 15.69% 17.43% 17.91%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.83% 87.35% 73.78% 67.05% 116.74% 89.93% 98.09% 94.7%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.41% 10.28% 10.26% 8.88% 7.7% 6.97% 6.97% 7.13%
ROE 40.18% 47.91% 47.39% 40.35% 34.54% 29.01% 24.79% 22.61%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.88x 2.44x 2.46x 2.89x 3.24x 3.19x 2.79x 2.37x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.99x 4.84x 5.47x 7.85x 7.84x 6.63x 5.16x 4.33x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.92% 7.1% 6.9% 7.45% 7.65% 6.25% 6.17% 5.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.93% 19.5% 19.28% 21.46% 23.31% 19.2% 19.13% 17.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.67% 38.65% 42.83% 58.19% 56.37% 39.85% 35.4% 32.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.171 2.053 1.697 1.833 1.929 2.032 2.018 2.158
Change - -5.45% -17.33% 8.05% 5.19% 5.35% -0.68% 6.96%
Dividend per Share 1 1.013 0.9239 1.019 1.035 1.035 0.556 0.5831 0.6059
Change - -8.84% 10.34% 1.51% 0% -46.27% 4.86% 3.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.11 4.151 4.394 4.491 4.991 5.85 6.892 7.991
Change - 1% 5.84% 2.21% 11.14% 17.22% 17.8% 15.95%
EPS 1 1.584 1.694 2.095 1.728 1.057 1.537 1.562 1.7
Change - 6.95% 23.65% -17.52% -38.83% 45.44% 1.61% 8.84%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 23,34,775 22,78,906 22,45,879 22,19,979 22,22,295 22,23,602 22,23,602 22,23,602
Announcement Date 29/07/21 28/07/22 01/08/23 30/07/24 05/08/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 13.4x 13.2x
PBR 3.53x 3x
EV / Sales 3.39x 3.26x
Yield 2.69% 2.82%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
20.65USD
Average target price
26.14USD
Spread / Average Target
+26.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DGE Stock
  4. Financials Diageo plc