Projected Income Statement: Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,957 19,156 23,110 18,969 33,769 35,950 32,824 29,294
Change - 1.05% 20.64% -17.92% 78.02% 6.46% -8.7% -10.75%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 09/02/23 08/02/24 11/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1MXN in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,176 9,755 12,622 16,565 19,230 16,759 17,734 18,371
Change - 35.94% 29.39% 31.24% 16.09% -12.85% 5.82% 3.59%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 23,893 20,089 17,900 21,765 18,487 21,629 25,376 28,871
Change - -15.92% -10.9% 21.6% -15.06% 16.99% 17.32% 13.78%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 09/02/23 08/02/24 11/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1MXN in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.31% 19.07% 19.84% 20.55% 20.24% 20.35% 20.7% 20.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.83% 14.72% 16.18% 16.52% 15.88% 16.06% 16.52% 16.54%
EBT Margin (%) 12.04% 13.23% 14.51% 14.76% 14.18% 14.33% 15.15% 15.26%
Net margin (%) 6.7% 7.46% 8.19% 8.25% 7.9% 8.36% 8.57% 8.68%
FCF margin (%) 13.03% 9.67% 8.38% 9.18% 7.46% 8.51% 9.37% 10%
FCF / Net Income (%) 194.54% 129.58% 102.26% 111.26% 94.42% 101.87% 109.3% 115.16%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.87% 6.03% 7.07% 7.36% 6.67% 7.02% 7.79% 8.33%
ROE 10.35% 13.03% 15.69% 16.08% 14.63% 16.08% 17.26% 17.77%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.54x 0.48x 0.55x 0.39x 0.67x 0.7x 0.59x 0.49x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.79x 0.95x 1.29x 0.87x 1.83x 1.66x 1.29x 1.01x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.91% 4.69% 5.91% 6.99% 7.76% 6.6% 6.55% 6.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.27% 24.62% 29.78% 34.02% 38.32% 32.41% 31.64% 30.53%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 30.03% 48.56% 70.52% 76.11% 104.02% 77.48% 69.89% 63.63%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 17.61 17.06 17.7 22.57 22.21 20.93 23.77 24.88
Change - -3.12% 3.75% 27.52% -1.6% -5.77% 13.59% 4.67%
Dividend per Share 1 5.54 - 5.72 6.3 8.62 9.181 9.051 10.07
Change - - - 10.14% 36.83% 6.51% -1.42% 11.3%
Book Value Per Share 1 68.23 68.25 62.24 81.14 76.51 81 86.7 92.66
Change - 0.03% -8.82% 30.38% -5.7% 5.86% 7.03% 6.88%
EPS 1 6.96 8.92 10.14 11.49 11.53 12.35 13.45 14.5
Change - 28.16% 13.68% 13.31% 0.35% 7.14% 8.85% 7.82%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 17,58,966 17,24,254 16,95,097 16,96,242 16,93,496 16,94,448 16,94,448 16,94,448
Announcement Date 15/02/22 09/02/23 08/02/24 11/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1MXN
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.5x 15.2x
PBR 2.52x 2.35x
EV / Sales 1.5x 1.4x
Yield 4.5% 4.44%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
203.83MXN
Average target price
238.44MXN
Spread / Average Target
+16.98%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. AC * Stock
  4. Financials Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V.