Company Valuation: Swatch Group

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 14,175 13,103 11,658 8,455 8,803 9,387 - -
Change - -7.56% -11.03% -27.47% 4.11% 6.63% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 11,619 10,565 9,672 7,081 7,610 8,260 8,244 8,227
Change - -9.07% -8.45% -26.78% 7.46% 8.54% -0.19% -0.22%
P/E 18.9x 16.9x 13.6x 44.1x 3,365x 39.8x 25.6x 19.8x
PBR 1.24x 1.13x 0.97x 0.7x 0.75x 0.82x 0.81x 0.8x
PEG - 3.16x 1.78x -0.6x -34.1x 0x 0.5x 0.7x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.94x 1.75x 1.48x 1.26x 1.4x 1.43x 1.35x 1.29x
EV / Revenue 1.59x 1.41x 1.23x 1.05x 1.21x 1.26x 1.19x 1.13x
EV / EBITDA 7.96x 6.75x 6.12x 9.84x 13.6x 10.9x 8.47x 7.2x
EV / EBIT 11.4x 9.12x 8.12x 23.3x 56.4x 24.4x 15.1x 11.7x
EV / FCF 11.6x 31.4x -56.9x -32.8x 136x 31x 11.1x 11.8x
FCF Yield 8.63% 3.19% -1.76% -3.05% 0.74% 3.22% 9.04% 8.49%
Dividend per Share 2 5.5 6 6.5 4.5 4.5 4.632 5.143 5.591
Rate of return 1.97% 2.28% 2.84% 2.73% 2.67% 2.53% 2.81% 3.06%
EPS 2 14.77 15.56 16.75 3.74 0.05 4.588 7.131 9.225
Distribution rate 37.2% 38.6% 38.8% 120% 9,000% 101% 72.1% 60.6%
Net sales 1 7,313 7,499 7,888 6,735 6,280 6,577 6,949 7,259
EBITDA 1 1,459 1,565 1,581 720 558 755.5 973.6 1,143
EBIT 1 1,021 1,158 1,191 304 135 338.5 547.3 702.7
Net income 1 765 807 869 193 3 230.4 363.9 463.7
Net Debt 1 -2,556 -2,538 -1,986 -1,374 -1,193 -1,127 -1,143 -1,160
Reference price 2 279.00 263.00 228.60 165.00 168.25 182.80 182.80 182.80
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 51,771 51,808 51,836 51,872 51,767 51,996 - -
Announcement Date 25/01/22 24/01/23 23/01/24 30/01/25 30/01/26 - - -
1CHF in Million2CHF
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
17.16x2.6x8.57x3.44% 21TCr
29.28x7.26x16.05x1.53% 15TCr
25.02x4.01x14.12x2.29% 12TCr
64.1x4.57x42.65x0.4% 4.24TCr
11.49x1.73x5.97x4.02% 2.61TCr
19.77x2.59x13.16x1.06% 2.18TCr
10.38x1.18x7.65x7.04% 1.37TCr
18.58x3.54x8.76x3.13% 1.34TCr
Average 24.48x 3.44x 14.62x 2.86% 7.53TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 24.84x 4.15x 14.02x 2.52%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Swatch Group

Historical PBR trend

Valuation ratios - PBR - Swatch Group

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Valuation ratios - VE_REV - Swatch Group

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Valuation ratios - VE_EBITDA - Swatch Group


Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Swatch Group