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13/01 | Consumer Cos Climb Amid Mixed Holiday Sales Reports - Consumer Roundup | DJ |
13/01 | Starbucks New Policy Limits Restaurant Access to Paying Customers | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Starbucks Corporation
Fiscal Period: September | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 23,518 | 29,061 | 32,250 | 35,976 | 36,176 | 37,249 | 39,815 | 43,425 |
Change | - | 23.57% | 10.98% | 11.55% | 0.56% | 2.97% | 6.89% | 9.07% |
EBITDA 1 | 3,351 | 6,501 | 6,136 | 7,164 | 6,921 | 6,786 | 7,783 | 8,965 |
Change | - | 94.01% | -5.62% | 16.76% | -3.39% | -1.95% | 14.68% | 15.2% |
EBIT 1 | 2,133 | 5,262 | 4,855 | 5,801 | 5,409 | 5,182 | 6,066 | 7,081 |
Change | - | 146.67% | -7.73% | 19.49% | -6.77% | -4.19% | 17.06% | 16.73% |
Interest Paid 1 | -437 | -469.8 | -482.9 | -550.1 | -562 | -573.2 | -583.6 | -599 |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,164 | 5,357 | 4,232 | 5,402 | 4,970 | 4,675 | 5,608 | 6,604 |
Change | - | 360.06% | -21% | 27.65% | -8% | -5.92% | 19.94% | 17.76% |
Net income 1 | 928.3 | 4,199 | 3,282 | 4,124 | 3,761 | 3,506 | 4,230 | 4,961 |
Change | - | 352.36% | -21.85% | 25.69% | -8.82% | -6.77% | 20.63% | 17.3% |
Announcement Date | 29/10/20 | 28/10/21 | 03/11/22 | 02/11/23 | 30/10/24 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Starbucks Corporation
Fiscal Period: September | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Debt 1 | 11,716 | 7,998 | 12,226 | 11,848 | 12,282 | 13,043 | 13,818 | 16,303 |
Change | - | -31.73% | 52.86% | -3.09% | 3.66% | 6.19% | 5.94% | 17.98% |
Announcement Date | 29/10/20 | 28/10/21 | 03/11/22 | 02/11/23 | 30/10/24 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Starbucks Corporation
Fiscal Period: September | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAPEX 1 | 1,484 | 1,470 | 1,841 | 2,334 | 2,778 | 2,694 | 3,038 | 3,323 |
Change | - | -0.92% | 25.26% | 26.74% | 19.02% | -3% | 12.77% | 9.38% |
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 114.2 | 4,519 | 2,556 | 3,675 | 3,318 | 3,666 | 4,257 | 4,779 |
Change | - | 3,857.18% | -43.44% | 43.78% | -9.71% | 10.48% | 16.12% | 12.26% |
Announcement Date | 29/10/20 | 28/10/21 | 03/11/22 | 02/11/23 | 30/10/24 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Starbucks Corporation
Fiscal Period: September | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
EBITDA Margin (%) | 14.25% | 22.37% | 19.03% | 19.91% | 19.13% | 18.22% | 19.55% | 20.65% |
EBIT Margin (%) | 9.07% | 18.11% | 15.05% | 16.13% | 14.95% | 13.91% | 15.24% | 16.31% |
EBT Margin (%) | 4.95% | 18.43% | 13.12% | 15.02% | 13.74% | 12.55% | 14.08% | 15.21% |
Net margin (%) | 3.95% | 14.45% | 10.18% | 11.46% | 10.4% | 9.41% | 10.62% | 11.43% |
FCF margin (%) | 0.49% | 15.55% | 7.93% | 10.22% | 9.17% | 9.84% | 10.69% | 11% |
FCF / Net Income (%) | 12.3% | 107.62% | 77.89% | 89.1% | 88.23% | 104.55% | 100.64% | 96.32% |
Profitability | ||||||||
ROA | 3.82% | 13.82% | 11.55% | 14.19% | 12.37% | 15.51% | 12.55% | 13.05% |
ROE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Financial Health | ||||||||
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 3.5x | 1.23x | 1.99x | 1.65x | 1.77x | 1.92x | 1.78x | 1.82x |
Debt / Free cash flow | 102.59x | 1.77x | 4.78x | 3.22x | 3.7x | 3.56x | 3.25x | 3.41x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 6.31% | 5.06% | 5.71% | 6.49% | 7.68% | 7.23% | 7.63% | 7.65% |
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 44.27% | 22.61% | 30.01% | 32.57% | 40.13% | 39.7% | 39.04% | 37.07% |
CAPEX / FCF (%) | 1,299.12% | 32.53% | 72.04% | 63.5% | 83.71% | 73.49% | 71.37% | 69.54% |
Items per share | ||||||||
Cash flow per share 1 | 1.352 | 5.052 | 3.797 | 5.219 | 5.378 | 4.028 | 5.41 | 6.219 |
Change | - | 273.67% | -24.84% | 37.44% | 3.04% | -25.09% | 34.3% | 14.94% |
Dividend per Share 1 | 1.23 | 2.29 | 2 | 2.16 | 2.32 | 2.475 | 2.615 | 2.823 |
Change | - | 86.18% | -12.66% | 8% | 7.41% | 6.67% | 5.66% | 7.97% |
Book Value Per Share 1 | -6.652 | -4.51 | -7.58 | -6.997 | -6.572 | -6.548 | -6.59 | -7.013 |
Change | - | -32.21% | 68.09% | -7.69% | -6.08% | -0.36% | 0.64% | 6.41% |
EPS 1 | 0.79 | 3.54 | 2.83 | 3.58 | 3.31 | 3.103 | 3.785 | 4.526 |
Change | - | 348.1% | -20.06% | 26.5% | -7.54% | -6.24% | 21.95% | 19.58% |
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 11,68,900 | 11,79,100 | 11,47,400 | 11,45,400 | 11,33,200 | 11,33,800 | 11,33,800 | 11,33,800 |
Announcement Date | 29/10/20 | 28/10/21 | 03/11/22 | 02/11/23 | 30/10/24 | - | - | - |
2025 * | 2026 * | |
---|---|---|
P/E ratio | 29.7x | 24.4x |
PBR | -14.1x | -14x |
EV / Sales | 3.16x | 2.97x |
Yield | 2.68% | 2.83% |
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
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- SBUX Stock
- Financials Starbucks Corporation
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