Projected Income Statement: Spring Airlines Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Spring Airlines Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,512 11,711 8,439 8,189 10,419 12,327 11,988 16,342
Change - 23.12% -27.94% -2.96% 27.23% 18.31% -2.75% 36.32%
Announcement Date 28/04/22 27/04/23 29/04/24 29/04/25 10/04/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Spring Airlines Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 6,190 4,572 3,203 7,213 6,332 4,070 4,783 5,515
Change - -26.14% -29.94% 125.19% -12.22% -35.72% 17.52% 15.3%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -4,506 -4,133 3,491 - 291.8 1,314 2,567 -
Change - 8.29% 184.47% - - 350.14% 95.43% -100%
Announcement Date 28/04/22 27/04/23 29/04/24 29/04/25 10/04/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Spring Airlines Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.76% -25.11% 22.84% 22.94% 26.32% 24.53% 26.19% 27.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 0.05% -40.83% 14.59% 13.25% 14.17% 10.74% 13.36% 14.66%
EBT Margin (%) 0.15% -40.61% 14.73% 13.27% 14.12% 12.89% 14.93% 15.9%
Net margin (%) 0.36% -36.27% 12.58% 11.36% 10.8% 9.45% 11.34% 12.18%
FCF margin (%) -41.5% -49.39% 19.46% - 1.36% 5.3% 9.52% -
FCF / Net Income (%) -11,522.06% 136.14% 154.65% - 12.59% 56.13% 83.97% -

Profitability

        
ROA 0.1% - 5.02% 5.16% 5.11% 4.1% 5.17% 5%
ROE 0.29% -24.41% 15.32% 13.72% 12.97% 12.2% 14.18% 16.17%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 8.14x -5.57x 2.06x 1.78x 1.84x 2.03x 1.7x 1.94x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.11x -2.83x 2.42x - 35.71x 9.38x 4.67x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 57.01% 54.63% 17.86% 36.06% 29.5% 16.43% 17.75% 17.96%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 529.69% -217.54% 78.19% 157.18% 112.11% 66.99% 67.76% 65.39%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -137.36% -110.61% 91.75% - 2,169.84% 309.86% 186.34% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.837 0.4482 6.841 6.024 6.77 6.079 7.026 8.235
Change - -75.6% 1,426.31% -11.94% 12.38% -10.2% 15.58% 17.2%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.7 0.82 0.53 0.9148 1.173 1.72
Change - - - 17.14% -35.37% 72.6% 28.26% 46.59%
Book Value Per Share 1 15 13.99 16.1 17.76 18.57 20.57 22.54 24.11
Change - -6.71% 15.02% 10.36% 4.53% 10.79% 9.58% 6.95%
EPS 1 0.04 -3.3 2.31 2.33 2.38 2.444 3.091 3.833
Change - -8,350% 170% 0.87% 2.15% 2.7% 26.45% 24.01%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 9,16,463 9,76,606 9,76,606 9,76,815 9,71,213 9,61,270 9,61,270 9,61,270
Announcement Date 28/04/22 27/04/23 29/04/24 29/04/25 10/04/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.8x 14.9x
PBR 2.24x 2.04x
EV / Sales 2.28x 2.09x
Yield 1.99% 2.55%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
46.03CNY
Average target price
61.16CNY
Spread / Average Target
+32.88%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Spring Airlines Co., Ltd.