Projected Income Statement: Ryanair Holdings plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,277 1,452 -559 -1,373 -1,304 -2,214 -3,513 -4,437
Change - -36.23% -138.5% -145.62% 5.03% -69.81% -58.67% -26.3%
Announcement Date 17/05/21 16/05/22 22/05/23 20/05/24 19/05/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 294.7 1,182 1,915 2,392 1,552 2,027 1,976 2,579
Change - 300.95% 62.04% 24.92% -35.09% 30.58% -2.55% 30.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,743 758.9 1,976 766 1,863 2,032 2,223 1,978
Change - 127.67% 160.42% -61.24% 143.24% 9.06% 9.38% -11%
Announcement Date 17/05/21 16/05/22 22/05/23 20/05/24 19/05/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ryanair Holdings plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -16.41% 7.91% 23.17% 23.21% 19.88% 24.36% 25.88% 25.63%
EBIT Margin (%) -51.31% -7.07% 14.6% 15.33% 11.17% 15.75% 17.22% 17%
EBT Margin (%) -67.78% -8.95% 14.6% 15.83% 12.79% 15.9% 17.42% 17.47%
Net margin (%) -62.06% -5.02% 12.19% 14.26% 11.55% 14.02% 15.63% 15.51%
FCF margin (%) -167.67% 15.81% 18.34% 5.7% 13.36% 13.14% 13.66% 11.33%
FCF / Net Income (%) 270.19% -315.16% 150.43% 39.96% 115.61% 93.71% 87.4% 73.03%

Profitability

        
ROA -6.02% -2.58% 8.33% 11.42% 9.29% 12.06% 13.06% 13.44%
ROE -17.06% -6.97% 23.49% 28.92% 22% 28.56% 27.83% 24.65%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -8.48x 3.82x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -0.83x 1.91x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 18.02% 24.61% 17.77% 17.79% 11.13% 13.11% 12.14% 14.77%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -109.8% 311.11% 76.7% 76.66% 56% 53.81% 46.91% 57.64%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -10.74% 155.7% 96.88% 312.26% 83.32% 99.76% 88.88% 130.39%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -2.205 1.716 3.414 2.758 3.084 3.817 4.028 4.293
Change - 177.84% 98.97% -19.22% 11.81% 23.8% 5.52% 6.56%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 0.353 0.4 0.466 0.5702 0.6379
Change - - - - 13.31% 16.49% 22.36% 11.88%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.12 4.887 4.955 6.679 6.614 7.765 9.59 11.45
Change - 18.62% 1.39% 34.8% -0.97% 17.39% 23.5% 19.38%
EPS 1 -0.9142 -0.213 1.153 1.674 1.455 2.068 2.448 2.627
Change - 76.7% 641.27% 45.23% -13.1% 42.14% 18.4% 7.29%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 11,27,657 11,34,481 11,38,665 11,39,908 10,65,713 10,49,943 10,49,943 10,49,943
Announcement Date 17/05/21 16/05/22 22/05/23 20/05/24 19/05/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.7x 10.7x
PBR 3.37x 2.73x
EV / Sales 1.63x 1.47x
Yield 1.78% 2.18%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
26.19EUR
Average target price
32.52EUR
Spread / Average Target
+24.18%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RYA Stock
  4. Financials Ryanair Holdings plc