Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,365 8,295 7,405 5,999 5,400 53.5 -4,521 -11,376
Change - -11.43% -10.73% -18.99% -9.98% -99.01% -8,550.47% -151.63%
Announcement Date 20/01/22 19/01/23 23/01/24 21/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 524.6 407.7 348.6 439.5 688.2 643.8 698.7 718
Change - -22.28% -14.51% 26.1% 56.58% -6.46% 8.54% 2.75%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -158.9 1,619 6,926 6,922 9,461 11,916 14,518 17,049
Change - 1,118.62% 327.9% -0.06% 36.68% 25.94% 21.84% 17.44%
Announcement Date 20/01/22 19/01/23 23/01/24 21/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.92% 20.7% 22.69% 28.25% 31.05% 33.43% 35.63% 37.95%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.86% 17.82% 20.62% 26.71% 29.49% 31.92% 34.17% 36.06%
EBT Margin (%) 19.67% 16.65% 18.4% 25.55% 28.16% 34.89% 33.36% 35.72%
Net margin (%) 17.23% 14.21% 16.04% 22.34% 24.3% 31.53% 28.67% 30.48%
FCF margin (%) -0.54% 5.12% 20.54% 17.75% 20.94% 23.19% 25.29% 26.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) -3.11% 36.03% 128.07% 79.45% 86.16% 73.55% 88.21% 88.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.2% 9.64% 11.11% 17.02% 20.11% 22.78% 23.94% 22.17%
ROE 38.02% 24.53% 26.15% 38.43% 42.76% 44.99% 44.52% 43.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.38x 1.27x 0.97x 0.54x 0.38x 0x - -
Debt / Free cash flow -58.94x 5.12x 1.07x 0.87x 0.57x 0x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.77% 1.29% 1.03% 1.13% 1.52% 1.25% 1.22% 1.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.71% 6.23% 4.56% 3.99% 4.91% 3.75% 3.42% 2.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -330.15% 25.19% 5.03% 6.35% 7.27% 5.4% 4.81% 4.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0862 0.449 1.618 1.676 2.388 2.908 3.743 4.538
Change - 420.75% 260.44% 3.55% 42.51% 21.75% 28.74% 21.23%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 3.481 4.604 4.663 5.633 6.263 7.495 9.387 12.34
Change - 32.28% 1.27% 20.81% 11.19% 19.67% 25.23% 31.45%
EPS 1 1.124 0.995 1.203 1.983 2.53 3.771 3.863 4.566
Change - -11.48% 20.9% 64.84% 27.58% 49.05% 2.43% 18.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 44,29,522 44,50,205 43,76,797 42,74,581 42,37,323 42,22,162 42,22,162 42,22,162
Announcement Date 20/01/22 19/01/23 23/01/24 21/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 28.6x 27.9x
PBR 14.4x 11.5x
EV / Sales 8.85x 7.84x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
51
Last Close Price
107.71USD
Average target price
114.23USD
Spread / Average Target
+6.05%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NFLX Stock
  4. Financials Netflix, Inc.