Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 8,103 9,365 8,295 7,405 5,999 5,968 3,834 -3,840
Change - 15.57% -11.43% -10.73% -18.99% -0.52% -35.76% -200.16%
Announcement Date 19/01/21 20/01/22 19/01/23 23/01/24 21/01/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 497.9 524.6 407.7 348.6 439.5 566.8 556 601.1
Change - 5.35% -22.28% -14.51% 26.1% 28.95% -1.91% 8.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,922 -158.9 1,619 6,926 6,922 9,191 12,101 14,573
Change - -108.27% 1,118.62% 327.9% -0.06% 32.79% 31.65% 20.43%
Announcement Date 19/01/21 20/01/22 19/01/23 23/01/24 21/01/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.47% 22.92% 20.7% 22.69% 28.25% 30.99% 33.98% 36.28%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.34% 20.86% 17.82% 20.62% 26.71% 29.53% 32.55% 34.71%
EBT Margin (%) 12.8% 19.67% 16.65% 18.4% 25.55% 28.38% 31.41% 33.82%
Net margin (%) 11.05% 17.23% 14.21% 16.04% 22.34% 24.42% 27.25% 29.21%
FCF margin (%) 7.69% -0.54% 5.12% 20.54% 17.75% 20.39% 23.75% 25.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 69.59% -3.11% 36.03% 128.07% 79.45% 83.47% 87.16% 88.02%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.54% 12.2% 9.64% 11.11% 17.02% 19.89% 21.94% 22.84%
ROE 29.62% 38.02% 24.53% 26.15% 38.43% 41.58% 45.16% 45.75%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.58x 1.38x 1.27x 0.97x 0.54x 0.43x 0.22x -
Debt / Free cash flow 4.22x -58.94x 5.12x 1.07x 0.87x 0.65x 0.32x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.99% 1.77% 1.29% 1.03% 1.13% 1.26% 1.09% 1.06%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.73% 7.71% 6.23% 4.56% 3.99% 4.06% 3.21% 2.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 25.91% -330.15% 25.19% 5.03% 6.35% 6.17% 4.59% 4.12%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5344 0.0862 0.449 1.618 1.676 2.3 3.01 4.07
Change - -83.86% 420.75% 260.44% 3.55% 37.24% 30.87% 35.22%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 2.436 3.481 4.604 4.663 5.633 6.595 7.792 8.928
Change - 42.87% 32.28% 1.27% 20.81% 17.08% 18.14% 14.59%
EPS 1 0.608 1.124 0.995 1.203 1.983 2.534 3.235 3.904
Change - 84.87% -11.48% 20.9% 64.84% 27.79% 27.65% 20.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 44,17,950 44,29,522 44,50,205 43,76,797 42,74,581 45,69,495 45,69,495 45,69,495
Announcement Date 19/01/21 20/01/22 19/01/23 23/01/24 21/01/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 37.3x 29.2x
PBR 14.3x 12.1x
EV / Sales 9.72x 8.56x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
42
Last Close Price
94.56USD
Average target price
126.98USD
Spread / Average Target
+34.29%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NFLX Stock
  4. Financials Netflix, Inc.