Projected Income Statement: Lindt

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 295 571 943 649 1,096 1,009 977 940
Change - 93.56% 65.15% -31.18% 68.88% -7.95% -3.17% -3.79%
Announcement Date 08/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 10/03/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 240.8 229.9 301 312 332.7 337.8 348.2 366.2
Change - -4.53% 30.93% 3.65% 6.63% 1.54% 3.07% 5.17%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 586 526.1 477.6 870 187.7 823.5 772.6 799.8
Change - -10.22% -9.22% 82.16% -78.43% 338.75% -6.18% 3.52%
Announcement Date 08/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 10/03/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.1% 20.48% 21.03% 21.61% 21.48% 21.72% 22.04% 22.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.06% 14.98% 15.63% 16.17% 16.41% 16.56% 16.95% 17.16%
EBT Margin (%) 13.56% 14.52% 15.14% 15.57% 15.61% 15.89% 16.37% 16.71%
Net margin (%) 10.7% 11.46% 12.91% 12.29% 12.29% 12.31% 12.58% 12.73%
FCF margin (%) 12.78% 10.59% 9.18% 15.91% 3.17% 13.76% 12.42% 12.22%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.47% 92.35% 71.13% 129.41% 25.81% 111.76% 98.75% 95.95%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.77% 6.74% 8.5% 7.9% 7.97% 8.05% 8.49% 9.06%
ROE 9.99% 11.84% 15.51% 14.78% 14.85% 14.84% 15.37% 15.99%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.32x 0.56x 0.86x 0.55x 0.86x 0.78x 0.71x 0.65x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.5x 1.09x 1.98x 0.75x 5.84x 1.22x 1.26x 1.17x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.25% 4.63% 5.79% 5.71% 5.62% 5.64% 5.6% 5.59%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.13% 22.59% 27.52% 26.41% 26.18% 25.97% 25.4% 25.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.09% 43.7% 63.02% 35.86% 177.25% 41.02% 45.06% 45.78%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3,404 3,168 3,350 5,129 2,264 4,561 4,787 4,960
Change - -6.94% 5.75% 53.1% -55.86% 101.47% 4.95% 3.62%
Dividend per Share 1 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,800 1,862 1,998 2,106
Change - 8.33% 7.69% 7.14% 20% 3.44% 7.31% 5.42%
Book Value Per Share 1 21,818 18,662 18,131 20,860 21,381 21,952 22,761 23,797
Change - -14.47% -2.85% 15.05% 2.5% 2.67% 3.69% 4.55%
EPS 1 2,019 2,387 2,859 2,898 3,137 3,181 3,402 3,640
Change - 18.21% 19.77% 1.35% 8.25% 1.41% 6.94% 7%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 241 232 233 231 230 229.2 229.2 229.2
Announcement Date 08/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 04/03/25 10/03/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 25.2x 23.5x
PBR 3.65x 3.52x
EV / Sales 3.17x 3.05x
Yield 2.32% 2.49%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
80,100.00CHF
Average target price
99,280.62CHF
Spread / Average Target
+23.95%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise