Projected Income Statement: IBM

Forecast Balance Sheet: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 47,263 44,147 42,108 43,085 40,168 42,766 34,309 30,707
Change - -6.59% -4.62% 2.32% -6.77% 6.47% -19.78% -10.5%
Announcement Date 21/01/21 24/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 29/01/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 3,042 2,381 1,860 1,488 1,127 1,483 1,580 1,651
Change - -21.73% -21.88% -20% -24.26% 31.59% 6.56% 4.45%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,805 6,508 9,291 11,210 12,749 13,978 15,052 16,185
Change - -39.77% 42.76% 20.65% 13.73% 9.64% 7.68% 7.53%
Announcement Date 21/01/21 24/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 29/01/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.89% - 24.35% 24.97% 26.13% 28.16% 28.3% 28.36%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.8% - 16.42% 17.87% 17.95% 20.41% 20.65% 21.15%
EBT Margin (%) 6.3% 8.43% 1.91% 14.05% 9.24% 15.4% 16.24% 16.74%
Net margin (%) 7.59% 10.01% 2.71% 12.13% 9.6% 12.96% 14.43% 15.01%
FCF margin (%) 14.68% 11.35% 15.35% 18.12% 20.32% 20.84% 21.46% 22.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 193.29% 113.32% 566.87% 149.43% 211.67% 160.88% 148.71% 147.32%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.05% 3.99% 6.42% 5.73% 7.11% 7.46% 7.57% 7.84%
ROE 37.52% 36.33% 40.77% 33.79% 38.86% 36.73% 34.4% 30.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.07x - 2.86x 2.79x 2.45x 2.26x 1.73x 1.48x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.37x 6.78x 4.53x 3.84x 3.15x 3.06x 2.28x 1.9x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.13% 4.15% 3.07% 2.41% 1.8% 2.21% 2.25% 2.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.78% - 12.62% 9.63% 6.87% 7.85% 7.96% 7.95%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.15% 36.59% 20.02% 13.27% 8.84% 10.61% 10.5% 10.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.3 14.15 11.44 15.11 14.35 15.75 17.02 18.49
Change - -30.3% -19.14% 32.08% -5.04% 9.82% 8.05% 8.6%
Dividend per Share 1 6.51 6.55 6.52 6.63 6.67 6.708 6.752 6.801
Change - 0.61% -0.46% 1.69% 0.6% 0.57% 0.66% 0.73%
Book Value Per Share 1 23.13 21.09 24.31 24.63 29.48 32.61 38.37 44.85
Change - -8.82% 15.24% 1.3% 19.71% 10.61% 17.68% 16.88%
EPS 1 6.23 6.35 1.8 8.14 6.43 9.082 10.31 11.03
Change - 1.93% -71.65% 352.22% -21.01% 41.24% 13.53% 7.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 8,91,057 8,96,800 9,04,126 9,13,119 9,24,645 9,34,735 9,34,735 9,34,735
Announcement Date 21/01/21 24/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 29/01/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 34.4x 30.3x
PBR 9.59x 8.15x
EV / Sales 5x 4.66x
Yield 2.15% 2.16%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
312.67USD
Average target price
292.56USD
Spread / Average Target
-6.43%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise