|
End-of-day quote
Shenzhen S.E.
03/09/2026
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 9.640 CNY | -0.52% |
|
+8.19% | -13.39% |
Projected Income Statement: Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,088 | 1,263 | 1,547 | 1,450 | 1,190 | 1,339 | 1,594 | 1,893 |
| Change | - | 16.08% | 22.47% | -6.23% | -17.92% | 12.5% | 19.04% | 18.76% |
| EBITDA 1 | 664.3 | 653.2 | 858.5 | 977.7 | 388.6 | 701.2 | 939.4 | 1,181 |
| Change | - | -1.67% | 31.43% | 13.89% | -60.25% | 80.41% | 33.97% | 25.72% |
| EBIT 1 | 394.5 | 296.7 | 413.5 | 225.1 | -328 | 84.21 | 235.5 | 360.7 |
| Change | - | -24.79% | 39.36% | -45.56% | -245.72% | 125.67% | 179.61% | 53.18% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -145.4 | -238 | -262.7 | -244.2 | -218 | -184.5 | -201.8 | -225.3 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 395.1 | 293.1 | 414.9 | 239.2 | -345.1 | 88.34 | 240 | 365.7 |
| Change | - | -25.81% | 41.52% | -42.33% | -244.25% | 125.6% | 171.68% | 52.37% |
| Net income 1 | 258.1 | 224 | 278.1 | 158.3 | -429.7 | 70.48 | 180.8 | 265.8 |
| Change | - | -13.22% | 24.17% | -43.07% | -371.37% | 116.4% | 156.6% | 46.99% |
| Announcement Date | 11/04/22 | 14/04/23 | 12/04/24 | 27/04/25 | 28/04/26 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 11/04/22 | 14/04/23 | 12/04/24 | 27/04/25 | 28/04/26 | - | - | - |
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 645.8 | 369.1 | 296.4 | 482 | 403.9 | 820.9 | 1,125 | 1,308 |
| Change | - | -42.84% | -19.72% | 62.63% | -16.2% | 103.26% | 37.04% | 16.27% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 133.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 11/04/22 | 14/04/23 | 12/04/24 | 27/04/25 | 28/04/26 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 61.06% | 51.72% | 55.51% | 67.42% | 32.65% | 52.36% | 58.93% | 62.39% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 36.26% | 23.49% | 26.74% | 15.52% | -27.56% | 6.29% | 14.77% | 19.05% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 36.32% | 23.21% | 26.82% | 16.5% | -28.99% | 6.6% | 15.06% | 19.32% |
| Net margin (%) | 23.72% | 17.74% | 17.98% | 10.92% | -36.1% | 5.26% | 11.35% | 14.04% |
| FCF margin (%) | 12.26% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 51.67% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 4.11% | - | 3.17% | - | - | - | - | - |
| ROE | 12.22% | 9.36% | 11.89% | 5.99% | -18.26% | 3.01% | 7.22% | 9.76% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 59.36% | 29.23% | 19.16% | 33.24% | 33.93% | 61.31% | 70.58% | 69.1% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 97.22% | 56.52% | 34.52% | 49.3% | 103.92% | 117.08% | 119.76% | 110.75% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 484.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.744 | 1.878 | 2.297 | 1.994 | 1.651 | 2.11 | 1.46 | 2.73 |
| Change | - | 7.67% | 22.35% | -13.21% | -17.18% | 27.79% | -30.81% | 86.99% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | 0% | -16.67% | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 5.24 | 4.904 | 5.72 | 5.4 | 4.237 | 4.71 | 5.06 | 5.52 |
| Change | - | -6.42% | 16.64% | -5.6% | -21.53% | 11.17% | 7.43% | 9.09% |
| EPS 1 | 0.58 | 0.5 | 0.65 | 0.34 | -0.94 | 0.15 | 0.39 | 0.58 |
| Change | - | -13.79% | 30% | -47.69% | -376.47% | 115.96% | 160% | 48.72% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 4,46,640 | 4,51,483 | 4,56,475 | 4,57,490 | 4,57,490 | 4,57,490 | 4,57,490 | 4,57,490 |
| Announcement Date | 11/04/22 | 14/04/23 | 12/04/24 | 27/04/25 | 28/04/26 | - | - | - |
1CNY
Estimates
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 64.3x | 24.7x |
| PBR | 2.05x | 1.91x |
| EV / Sales | 3.29x | 2.77x |
| Yield | - | - |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
1
Last Close Price
9.640CNY
Average target price
10.09CNY
Spread / Average Target
+4.67%
Annual profits - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Stocks
- 002930 Stock
- Financials Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd.
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