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End-of-day quote
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 2,445.00 COP | +0.41% |
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-4.31% | +30.75% |
| 20/04 | LatAm stocks slip, FX steady as investors weigh Middle East tensions | RE |
| 18/04 | Latam assets gain as Iran opens Hormuz strait; Venezuelan bonds surge | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 9,17,44,000 | 15,94,74,000 | 14,30,79,000 | 13,33,28,000 | 11,96,94,000 | 12,00,25,761 | 11,78,70,687 | 11,57,52,787 |
| Change | - | 73.82% | -10.28% | -6.82% | -10.23% | 0.28% | -1.8% | -1.8% |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,19,67,000 | 7,52,44,000 | 6,07,18,000 | 5,41,43,000 | 4,66,76,000 | 4,79,33,702 | 4,75,38,649 | 4,60,28,396 |
| Change | - | 79.29% | -19.31% | -10.83% | -13.79% | 2.69% | -0.82% | -3.18% |
| EBIT 1 | 2,95,94,000 | 6,03,81,000 | 4,37,46,000 | 3,75,93,000 | 2,66,56,000 | 3,18,16,079 | 3,12,06,929 | 2,89,12,096 |
| Change | - | 104.03% | -27.55% | -14.07% | -29.09% | 19.36% | -1.91% | -7.35% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -40,28,056 | -67,10,107 | -80,63,096 | -85,71,515 | -85,28,000 | -79,56,185 | -78,31,655 | -90,66,713 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 2,63,22,000 | 5,40,26,000 | 3,67,88,000 | 3,07,05,000 | 1,88,61,000 | 2,24,59,225 | 2,06,08,122 | 2,63,75,437 |
| Change | - | 105.25% | -31.91% | -16.54% | -38.57% | 19.08% | -8.24% | 27.99% |
| Net income 1 | 1,66,95,000 | 3,34,06,000 | 1,90,62,000 | 1,49,35,000 | 90,29,000 | 1,06,54,180 | 1,08,11,711 | 1,17,38,496 |
| Change | - | 100.1% | -42.94% | -21.65% | -39.54% | 18% | 1.48% | 8.57% |
| Announcement Date | 01/03/22 | 28/02/23 | 29/02/24 | 04/03/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 7,88,83,872 | 9,85,71,654 | 9,16,18,484 | 10,50,59,013 | 9,66,68,000 | 9,42,86,556 | 8,96,07,420 | 7,50,34,536 |
| Change | - | 24.96% | -7.05% | 14.67% | -7.99% | -2.46% | -4.96% | -16.26% |
| Announcement Date | 01/03/22 | 28/02/23 | 29/02/24 | 04/03/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,28,50,616 | 2,07,31,000 | 2,33,14,320 | 2,00,61,877 | 2,03,25,000 | 2,05,22,706 | 2,18,13,947 | 2,13,66,815 |
| Change | - | 61.32% | 12.46% | -13.95% | 1.31% | 0.97% | 6.29% | -2.05% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 96,85,405 | 1,55,04,000 | -35,13,768 | 2,50,65,639 | 1,19,08,000 | 1,21,50,427 | 1,40,26,045 | -7,45,798 |
| Change | - | 60.08% | -122.66% | 813.35% | -52.49% | 2.04% | 15.44% | -105.32% |
| Announcement Date | 01/03/22 | 28/02/23 | 29/02/24 | 04/03/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 45.74% | 47.18% | 42.44% | 40.61% | 39% | 39.94% | 40.33% | 39.76% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 32.26% | 37.86% | 30.57% | 28.2% | 22.27% | 26.51% | 26.48% | 24.98% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 28.69% | 33.88% | 25.71% | 23.03% | 15.76% | 18.71% | 17.48% | 22.79% |
| Net margin (%) | 18.2% | 20.95% | 13.32% | 11.2% | 7.54% | 8.88% | 9.17% | 10.14% |
| FCF margin (%) | 10.56% | 9.72% | -2.46% | 18.8% | 9.95% | 10.12% | 11.9% | -0.64% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 58.01% | 46.41% | -18.43% | 167.83% | 131.89% | 114.04% | 129.73% | -6.35% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 8.7% | 12.25% | 6.48% | 5.12% | 3.11% | 4.07% | 4.08% | - |
| ROE | 26.96% | 43.2% | 22.5% | 18.43% | 10.86% | 16.13% | 15.5% | 13.9% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.88x | 1.31x | 1.51x | 1.94x | 2.07x | 1.97x | 1.88x | 1.63x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 8.14x | 6.36x | -26.07x | 4.19x | 8.12x | 7.76x | 6.39x | -100.61x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 14.01% | 13% | 16.29% | 15.05% | 16.98% | 17.1% | 18.51% | 18.46% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 30.62% | 27.55% | 38.4% | 37.05% | 43.54% | 42.81% | 45.89% | 46.42% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 132.68% | 133.71% | -663.51% | 80.04% | 170.68% | 168.91% | 155.52% | -2,864.96% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 548.1 | 881.3 | 532 | 1,098 | 810.9 | 873.3 | 1,014 | - |
| Change | - | 60.79% | -39.63% | 106.29% | -26.12% | 7.7% | 16.16% | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 243 | 487 | - | - | - | 135.9 | 141.1 | 109 |
| Change | - | 100.41% | - | - | - | - | 3.82% | -22.76% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 1,745 | 2,095 | 1,907 | 2,036 | 2,037 | 2,069 | 2,183 | - |
| Change | - | 20.1% | -9.01% | 6.77% | 0.08% | 1.56% | 5.51% | - |
| EPS 1 | 406 | 768.7 | 512.2 | 363.2 | 219.6 | - | 316.3 | - |
| Change | - | 89.33% | -33.37% | -29.09% | -39.54% | - | - | - |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 4,11,16,695 | 4,11,16,695 | 4,11,16,695 | 4,11,16,695 | 4,11,16,695 | 4,11,16,695 | 4,11,16,695 | 4,11,16,695 |
| Announcement Date | 01/03/22 | 28/02/23 | 29/02/24 | 04/03/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | - | 7.73x |
| PBR | 1.18x | 1.12x |
| EV / Sales | 1.62x | 1.61x |
| Yield | 5.56% | 5.77% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- ECOPETROL Stock
- Financials Ecopetrol S.A.
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