Projected Income Statement: Dangote Cement Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Dangote Cement Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,48,318 4,51,803 - 22,13,910 7,92,824 3,66,760 -1,35,240 -4,70,260
Change - 81.95% - - -64.19% -53.74% -136.87% -247.72%
Announcement Date 01/03/22 27/02/23 01/03/24 01/03/25 28/02/26 - - -
1NGN in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Dangote Cement Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,58,508 65,945 1,02,176 4,13,777 8,61,089 5,92,455 4,48,769 3,25,272
Change - -58.4% 54.94% 304.96% 108.1% -31.2% -24.25% -27.52%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,38,201 3,13,222 5,38,568 4,07,303 8,49,673 10,38,236 14,20,412 17,05,687
Change - -28.52% 71.94% -24.37% 108.61% 22.19% 36.81% 20.08%
Announcement Date 01/03/22 27/02/23 01/03/24 01/03/25 28/02/26 - - -
1NGN in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Dangote Cement Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 49.48% 43.76% 40.13% 38.6% 46% 47.6% 46.54% 45.76%
EBIT Margin (%) 42.1% 36.2% 33.25% 32.18% 40.99% 42.95% 42.24% 41.82%
EBT Margin (%) 38.91% 32.38% 25.05% 20.46% 35.59% 38.81% 38.68% 38.73%
Net margin (%) 26.09% 23.23% 20.16% 13.91% 23.29% 26.8% 26.74% 26.77%
FCF margin (%) 31.67% 19.35% 24.39% 11.38% 19.73% 21.44% 25.99% 27.46%
FCF / Net Income (%) 121.38% 83.31% 120.97% 81.76% 84.73% 80% 97.19% 102.58%

Profitability

        
ROA 16.36% 15.02% 13.59% 9.63% 16.12% 20% 20.6% 21.35%
ROE 39.21% 37.23% 32.43% 26.13% 43.2% 43.3% 42.15% 42.55%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.36x 0.64x - 1.6x 0.4x 0.16x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.57x 1.44x - 5.44x 0.93x 0.35x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.46% 4.07% 4.63% 11.56% 19.99% 12.24% 8.21% 5.24%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.15% 9.31% 11.53% 29.94% 43.46% 25.71% 17.64% 11.44%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.17% 21.05% 18.97% 101.59% 101.34% 57.06% 31.59% 19.07%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 22.98 40.36 49.02 - - - -
Change - - 75.67% 21.44% - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 20 20 30 30 45 60 75 92.9
Change - 0% 50% 0% 50% 33.33% 25% 23.87%
Book Value Per Share 1 56.79 62.46 100.9 126.7 150.4 188.4 229.7 261.1
Change - 10% 61.61% 25.49% 18.76% 25.22% 21.92% 13.68%
EPS 1 21.24 22.27 - 29.74 59.86 77 86.77 98.66
Change - 4.85% - - 101.28% 28.64% 12.68% 13.7%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,70,00,307 1,68,73,559 1,67,52,155 1,67,52,155 1,67,52,155 1,67,52,155 1,67,52,155 1,67,52,155
Announcement Date 01/03/22 27/02/23 01/03/24 01/03/25 28/02/26 - - -
1NGN
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 15.3x 13.6x
PBR 6.26x 5.14x
EV / Sales 4.16x 3.59x
Yield 5.08% 6.36%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
1,180.00NGN
Average target price
879.82NGN
Spread / Average Target
-25.44%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DANGCEM Stock
  4. Financials Dangote Cement Plc