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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 73.20 GBX | +0.69% |
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+7.65% | -48.99% |
| 01/05 | Janus Henderson Group discloses 10.04% voting rights in Crest Nicholson, filing shows | RE |
| 27/04 | Goldman Sachs and Citi cut Sainsbury | AN |
Projected Income Statement: Crest Nicholson Holdings plc
| Fiscal Period: October | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 786.6 | 913.6 | 657.5 | 618.2 | 610.8 | 523.9 | 568 | 607.5 |
| Change | - | 16.15% | -28.03% | -5.98% | -1.2% | -14.22% | 8.4% | 6.97% |
| EBITDA 1 | 118 | 143.2 | 47 | 34 | 38.5 | 21.4 | 37.2 | 50.75 |
| Change | - | 21.36% | -67.18% | -27.66% | 13.24% | -44.41% | 73.79% | 36.44% |
| EBIT 1 | 114.6 | 140.9 | 44.2 | 31.3 | 34.7 | 16.79 | 32.03 | 45.03 |
| Change | - | 22.95% | -68.63% | -29.19% | 10.86% | -51.61% | 90.76% | 40.58% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -9.1 | -7.1 | -5.5 | -8.8 | -9.6 | -15 | -12.42 | -10.72 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 86.9 | 32.8 | 23.1 | -143.7 | 2.9 | -6.201 | 18.02 | 32.52 |
| Change | - | -62.26% | -29.57% | -722.08% | 102.02% | -313.83% | 390.61% | 80.47% |
| Net income 1 | 70.9 | 26.4 | 17.9 | -103.5 | 2.2 | -4.636 | 12.92 | 23.17 |
| Change | - | -62.76% | -32.2% | -678.21% | 102.13% | -310.75% | 378.59% | 79.36% |
| Announcement Date | 19/01/22 | 17/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 04/02/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Crest Nicholson Holdings plc
| Fiscal Period: October | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -253 | -277 | -64.9 | 8.5 | 38.2 | 111 | 96.5 | 89.5 |
| Change | - | -9.49% | 76.57% | 113.1% | 349.41% | 190.58% | -13.06% | -7.25% |
| Announcement Date | 19/01/22 | 17/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 04/02/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Crest Nicholson Holdings plc
| Fiscal Period: October | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | - | 1.36 | 1.383 | 1.417 |
| Change | - | -50% | 1,700% | -22.22% | - | - | 1.72% | 2.41% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 126.3 | 51.6 | -167.4 | -69.2 | -11.9 | -30.57 | 8.633 | 11.23 |
| Change | - | -59.14% | -424.42% | 58.66% | 82.8% | -156.9% | 128.24% | 30.12% |
| Announcement Date | 19/01/22 | 17/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 04/02/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Crest Nicholson Holdings plc
| Fiscal Period: October | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 15% | 15.67% | 7.15% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.08% | 6.55% | 8.35% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 14.57% | 15.42% | 6.72% | 5.06% | 5.68% | 3.2% | 5.64% | 7.41% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 11.05% | 3.59% | 3.51% | -23.24% | 0.47% | -1.18% | 3.17% | 5.35% |
| Net margin (%) | 9.01% | 2.89% | 2.72% | -16.74% | 0.36% | -0.88% | 2.27% | 3.81% |
| FCF margin (%) | 16.06% | 5.65% | -25.46% | -11.19% | -1.95% | -5.83% | 1.52% | 1.85% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 178.14% | 195.45% | -935.2% | 66.86% | -540.91% | 659.37% | 66.84% | 48.49% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 4.61% | 1.66% | 2.02% | 0.97% | 1.39% | 0.68% | 1.3% | 2.04% |
| ROE | 8.21% | 2.96% | 3.61% | 1.82% | 2.76% | 0.03% | 2.09% | 3.52% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | 0.25x | 0.99x | 5.18x | 2.59x | 1.76x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | -0.12x | -3.21x | -3.63x | 11.18x | 7.97x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.27% | 0.23% | - | 0.26% | 0.24% | 0.23% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 0.17% | 0.07% | 3.83% | 4.12% | - | 6.35% | 3.72% | 2.79% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 0.16% | 0.19% | -1.08% | -2.02% | - | -4.45% | 16.02% | 12.61% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.4906 | 0.2006 | -0.645 | -0.2645 | -0.0462 | -0.2915 | 0.0938 | 0.0929 |
| Change | - | -59.11% | -421.54% | 58.99% | 82.53% | -530.89% | 132.19% | -0.96% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.136 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.022 | 0.031 | 0.0121 | 0.0228 | 0.039 |
| Change | - | 25% | 0% | -87.06% | 40.91% | -61.1% | 89.14% | 70.76% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 3.515 | 3.448 | - | 2.837 | 2.795 | 2.767 | 2.809 | 2.887 |
| Change | - | -1.9% | - | - | -1.49% | -0.99% | 1.52% | 2.76% |
| EPS 1 | 0.275 | 0.102 | 0.07 | -0.404 | 0.009 | -0.0168 | 0.0498 | 0.0898 |
| Change | - | -62.91% | -31.37% | -677.14% | 102.23% | -286.67% | 396.73% | 80.14% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,56,736 | 2,56,531 | 2,56,132 | 2,56,320 | 2,56,353 | 2,56,722 | 2,56,722 | 2,56,722 |
| Announcement Date | 19/01/22 | 17/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 04/02/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | -43.6x | 14.7x |
| PBR | 0.26x | 0.26x |
| EV / Sales | 0.57x | 0.5x |
| Yield | 1.65% | 3.12% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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