Projected Income Statement: China National Building Material Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China National Building Material Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,48,682 1,34,291 1,50,263 1,59,600 1,68,377 1,76,909 1,76,481 1,72,036
Change - -9.68% 11.89% 6.21% 5.5% 5.07% -0.24% -2.52%
Announcement Date 26/03/21 25/03/22 24/03/23 28/03/24 27/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China National Building Material Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 19,288 27,625 25,627 21,328 20,841 19,252 19,253 19,253
Change - 43.22% -7.23% -16.78% -2.28% -7.63% 0% -0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 44,941 22,465 723.1 7,697 2,354 9,194 12,969 14,209
Change - -50.01% -96.78% 964.43% -69.41% 290.5% 41.06% 9.56%
Announcement Date 26/03/21 25/03/22 24/03/23 28/03/24 27/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China National Building Material Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.93% 18.82% 15.49% 15.27% 15.93% 17.31% 19.15% 18.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.47% 14.05% 8.83% 6.01% 4.5% 7.76% 9.45% 9.6%
EBT Margin (%) 11.79% 12.27% 7.57% 5.96% 5.24% 6.87% 8.3% 8.97%
Net margin (%) 4.93% 5.93% 3.46% 1.84% 1.32% 2.23% 2.75% 3.18%
FCF margin (%) 17.64% 8.21% 0.31% 3.66% 1.3% 5.07% 6.94% 7.32%
FCF / Net Income (%) 358.02% 138.51% 9.08% 199.25% 98.62% 227.15% 252.33% 229.99%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.78% 3.53% 1.68% 0.79% 0.49% 0.82% 1.67% 1.78%
ROE 11.95% 14.25% 6.61% 3.14% 1.97% 3.89% 4.61% 4.99%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.08x 2.61x 4.21x 4.97x 5.83x 5.64x 4.93x 4.71x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.31x 5.98x 207.79x 20.73x 71.51x 19.24x 13.61x 12.11x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.57% 10.09% 11.13% 10.15% 11.5% 10.62% 10.31% 9.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 40% 53.63% 71.87% 66.46% 72.16% 61.39% 53.81% 52.66%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 42.92% 122.97% 3,543.91% 277.08% 885.2% 209.39% 148.45% 135.5%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.615 5.939 3.124 3.441 2.75 2.533 3.327 3.489
Change - -22.01% -47.4% 10.15% -20.08% -7.88% 31.32% 4.86%
Dividend per Share 1 0.47 0.693 0.378 0.229 0.158 0.2687 0.3416 0.3823
Change - 47.45% -45.45% -39.42% -31% 70.06% 27.13% 11.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.91 14.07 14.44 14.6 14.16 13.84 14.31 14.88
Change - 9.01% 2.62% 1.12% -3.02% -2.24% 3.36% 3.97%
EPS 1 1.488 1.923 0.944 0.45 0.283 0.5135 0.6541 0.7605
Change - 29.23% -50.91% -52.33% -37.11% 81.45% 27.38% 16.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 84,34,771 84,34,771 84,34,771 84,34,771 84,34,771 75,93,021 75,93,021 75,93,021
Announcement Date 26/03/21 25/03/22 24/03/23 28/03/24 27/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 8.6x 6.75x
PBR 0.32x 0.31x
EV / Sales 1.16x 1.12x
Yield 6.08% 7.73%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
4.417CNY
Average target price
5.905CNY
Spread / Average Target
+33.70%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials China National Building Material Company Limited