Projected Income Statement: China Express Airlines Co.,LTD

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Express Airlines Co.,LTD

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 642 4,021 3,486 4,508 5,001 1,550 -548 -2,767
Change - 526.32% -13.31% 29.32% 10.94% -69.01% -135.35% -404.93%
Announcement Date 14/04/21 30/03/22 28/04/23 23/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Express Airlines Co.,LTD

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 756.1 1,808 351.5 540.8 180.5 594.7 572.3 530.5
Change - 139.11% -80.55% 53.83% -66.61% 229.36% -3.76% -7.31%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - -34.93 - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 14/04/21 30/03/22 28/04/23 23/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Express Airlines Co.,LTD

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.57% 3.14% -21% -15.36% 10.81% 37.11% 39.1% 35.66%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.07% -2.89% -88.57% -20.92% 5.58% 10.57% 13.59% 14.97%
EBT Margin (%) 15.27% -2.81% -88.71% -21.36% 5.55% 10.37% 13.9% 15.22%
Net margin (%) 12.93% -2.49% -74.69% -18.73% 4% 8.57% 11.53% 12.51%
FCF margin (%) - - -1.32% - - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - 1.77% - - - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 5.75% -0.71% -11.72% -5.41% 1.38% 3.1% 4.3% -
ROE 18.22% -2.61% -69.72% -27.03% 8.32% 16.89% 20.87% 20.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.55x 32.24x -6.28x -5.7x 6.91x 0.55x - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - -99.8x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.99% 45.57% 13.3% 10.5% 2.7% 7.76% 6.66% 5.53%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 65.08% 1,449.64% -63.34% -68.35% 24.93% 20.92% 17.03% 15.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - -1,006.37% - - - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.9942 0.9032 0.2477 1.034 1.416 2.55 2.515 2.835
Change - -9.16% -72.57% 317.6% 36.86% 80.09% -1.38% 12.76%
Dividend per Share 1 0.061 - - - - 0.05 0.1248 0.2001
Change - - - - - - 149.56% 60.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.884 3.584 3.17 2.415 2.627 3.133 3.87 4.737
Change - -7.72% -11.55% -23.81% 8.76% 19.26% 23.53% 22.4%
EPS 1 0.6385 -0.0975 -1.915 -0.7577 0.2096 0.5129 0.7756 0.9376
Change - -115.27% -1,863.9% 60.43% 127.66% 144.7% 51.22% 20.89%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,13,568 10,11,615 12,73,611 12,73,611 12,73,611 12,73,611 12,73,611 12,73,611
Announcement Date 14/04/21 30/03/22 28/04/23 23/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 17.7x 11.7x
PBR 2.89x 2.34x
EV / Sales 1.71x 1.28x
Yield 0.55% 1.38%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
9.060CNY
Average target price
13.67CNY
Spread / Average Target
+50.85%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  4. Financials China Express Airlines Co.,LTD
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