Projected Income Statement: BASF SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: BASF SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 14,677 14,352 16,268 16,590 18,781 19,589 15,944 15,892
Change - -2.21% 13.35% 1.98% 13.21% 4.3% -18.61% -0.33%
Announcement Date 26/02/21 25/02/22 24/02/23 23/02/24 28/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BASF SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 3,129 3,532 4,375 5,395 6,198 4,784 4,067 3,741
Change - 12.88% 23.87% 23.31% 14.88% -22.81% -14.99% -8.03%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,284 3,713 3,333 2,700 748 988.2 1,626 2,327
Change - 62.57% -10.23% -18.99% -72.3% 32.11% 64.59% 43.1%
Announcement Date 26/02/21 25/02/22 24/02/23 23/02/24 28/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BASF SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.57% 14.44% 12.32% 11.13% 12.04% 10.98% 11.58% 12.55%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.02% 9.88% 7.88% 5.52% 5.99% 5.08% 5.41% 6.57%
EBT Margin (%) -2.64% 9.48% 1.36% 2.06% 3.17% 3.43% 5.46% 5.28%
Net margin (%) -1.79% 7.03% -0.72% 0.33% 1.99% 2.87% 4.72% 3.86%
FCF margin (%) 3.86% 4.72% 3.82% 3.92% 1.15% 1.62% 2.65% 3.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) -215.47% 67.23% -531.58% 1,200% 57.63% 56.3% 56.19% 95.48%

Profitability

        
ROA -1.27% 6.59% -0.73% 3.07% 3.97% 2.24% 3.28% 2.83%
ROE -2.5% 14.82% 15.62% 6.64% 8.84% 6.15% 6.38% 8.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.97x 1.26x 1.51x 2.16x 2.39x 2.92x 2.24x 2.01x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.43x 3.87x 4.88x 6.14x 25.11x 19.82x 9.8x 6.83x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.29% 4.49% 5.01% 7.83% 9.5% 7.83% 6.63% 5.93%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 42.08% 31.12% 40.65% 70.33% 78.88% 71.33% 57.26% 47.25%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 137% 95.13% 131.26% 199.81% 828.61% 484.17% 250.08% 160.72%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.882 7.888 8.624 9.062 7.782 5.916 7.022 6.941
Change - 34.1% 9.33% 5.08% -14.12% -23.98% 18.69% -1.16%
Dividend per Share 1 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.25 2.246 2.302 2.408
Change - 3.03% 0% 0% -33.82% -0.18% 2.49% 4.59%
Book Value Per Share 1 36.72 44.41 44.27 39.53 39.89 38.57 39.29 39.84
Change - 20.94% -0.32% -10.72% 0.91% -3.3% 1.88% 1.38%
EPS 1 -1.15 6.01 -0.7 0.25 1.45 1.947 3.622 2.981
Change - 622.61% -111.65% 135.71% 480% 34.28% 86.02% -17.69%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 9,18,479 9,18,479 8,94,516 8,92,522 8,92,522 8,80,449 8,80,449 8,80,449
Announcement Date 26/02/21 25/02/22 24/02/23 23/02/24 28/02/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 26.2x 14.1x
PBR 1.32x 1.3x
EV / Sales 1.06x 0.99x
Yield 4.4% 4.51%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
51.08EUR
Average target price
49.17EUR
Spread / Average Target
-3.75%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise