Projected Income Statement: Air Canada

Forecast Balance Sheet: Air Canada

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,721 7,495 5,311 4,918 5,411 6,621 6,729 5,586
Change - -2.93% -29.14% -7.4% 10.02% 22.36% 1.63% -16.99%
Announcement Date 18/02/22 17/02/23 16/02/24 13/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Air Canada

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,073 1,572 1,564 2,636 2,910 3,226 3,536 3,077
Change - 46.51% -0.51% 68.54% 10.39% 10.86% 9.6% -12.98%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,636 796 2,756 1,294 747 546.3 461.8 1,542
Change - 130.2% 246.23% -53.05% -42.27% -26.87% -15.47% 233.94%
Announcement Date 18/02/22 17/02/23 16/02/24 13/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Air Canada

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -22.88% 8.8% 18.24% 16.11% 13.96% 12.9% 14.65% 15.8%
EBIT Margin (%) -47.64% -1.13% 10.44% 5.68% 4.1% 3.92% 5.51% 7.04%
EBT Margin (%) -62.2% -9.21% 10.13% 2.31% 3.53% 2.97% 3.69% 4.76%
Net margin (%) -56.28% -10.27% 10.42% 7.73% 2.88% 1.95% 2.54% 3.5%
FCF margin (%) -41.19% 4.81% 12.62% 5.81% 3.34% 2.2% 1.78% 5.57%
FCF / Net Income (%) 73.18% -46.82% 121.09% 75.23% 115.99% 112.75% 70.26% 159.3%

Profitability

        
ROA -12.1% -5.66% 7.62% 4.35% 1.51% 1.61% 2.23% 2.8%
ROE -417.87% - - 83.86% 18.92% 17.32% 24.6% 29.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -5.27x 5.14x 1.33x 1.37x 1.73x 2.06x 1.77x 1.28x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.93x 9.42x 1.93x 3.8x 7.24x 12.12x 14.57x 3.62x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.77% 9.5% 7.16% 11.84% 13.01% 12.96% 13.64% 11.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -73.29% 107.89% 39.28% 73.51% 93.15% 100.53% 93.1% 70.39%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -40.71% 197.49% 56.75% 203.71% 389.56% 590.52% 765.72% 199.53%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -4.453 6.615 11.49 10.45 11.43 9.764 11.52 13.13
Change - 248.54% 73.7% -9.03% 9.34% -14.56% 17.95% 14.02%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 0.0252 -4.339 2.221 7.027 8.796 10.34 12.37 15.97
Change - -17,353.28% 151.18% 216.44% 25.18% 17.49% 19.66% 29.11%
EPS 1 -10.25 -4.75 5.96 4.574 1.86 1.852 2.495 3.502
Change - 53.66% 225.47% -23.25% -59.34% -0.43% 34.72% 40.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,57,835 3,59,098 3,58,469 3,49,475 2,95,653 2,80,059 2,80,059 2,80,059
Announcement Date 18/02/22 17/02/23 16/02/24 13/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.3x 9.17x
PBR 2.21x 1.85x
EV / Sales 0.52x 0.51x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
22.87CAD
Average target price
25.03CAD
Spread / Average Target
+9.43%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. AC Stock
  4. Financials Air Canada