Projected Income Statement: Agricultural Bank of China Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Agricultural Bank of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 30/03/21 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 28/03/25 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Agricultural Bank of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
CAPEX 1 14,110 22,844 26,033 22,092 28,827 24,223
Change - 61.9% 13.96% -15.14% 30.49% -15.97%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - - - - -
Change - - - - - -
Announcement Date 30/03/20 30/03/21 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 28/04/25
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Agricultural Bank of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - - - - - - - - -
EBIT Margin (%) - 65.13% 63.94% 62.23% 63.72% 63.24% 63.62% 65.04% 66.34%
EBT Margin (%) - 40.2% 41% 42.21% 44.2% 44.92% 45.25% 44.66% 45.28%
Net margin (%) - 32.75% 33.42% 35.72% 38.73% 39.7% 39.2% 38.25% 37.5%
FCF margin (%) - - - - - - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - - - - - -

Profitability

         
ROA - 0.83% 0.86% 0.82% 0.73% 0.68% 0.64% 0.6% 0.61%
ROE - 11.35% 11.57% 11.28% 10.91% 10.46% 9.83% 9.57% 9.53%

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - - - - - - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - - - - - - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - - - - - - -

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.1851 0.2068 0.2222 0.2309 0.2419 0.2467 0.2536 0.2633
Change - - 11.72% 7.45% 3.92% 4.76% 1.98% 2.81% 3.82%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 6.3 6.899 6.37 6.88 7.4 8.165 8.607 9.178
Change - - 9.52% -7.67% 8.01% 7.56% 10.33% 5.41% 6.64%
EPS 1 - 0.59 0.65 0.69 0.72 0.75 0.7918 0.8153 0.8669
Change - - 10.17% 6.15% 4.35% 4.17% 5.57% 2.98% 6.33%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 34,99,83,034 34,99,83,034 34,99,83,034 34,99,83,034 34,99,83,034 34,99,83,034 34,99,83,034 34,99,83,034
Announcement Date - 30/03/21 30/03/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 28/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 5.85x 5.68x
PBR 0.57x 0.54x
EV / Sales 3.17x 3.01x
Yield 5.33% 5.48%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
4.629CNY
Average target price
5.659CNY
Spread / Average Target
+22.25%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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