Projected Income Statement: Aboitiz Power Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aboitiz Power Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,77,307 1,83,633 1,82,606 1,86,441 2,73,595 2,72,084 2,61,331 3,40,121
Change - 3.57% -0.56% 2.1% 46.75% -0.55% -3.95% 30.15%
Announcement Date 09/03/22 19/03/23 12/03/24 17/03/25 30/03/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aboitiz Power Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 8,282 13,014 19,192 22,168 27,426 58,905 35,489 29,863
Change - 57.14% 47.47% 15.51% 23.72% 114.78% -39.75% -15.85%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 28,045 21,199 31,077 23,961 24,297 26,698 47,897 59,922
Change - -24.41% 46.6% -22.9% 1.4% 9.88% 79.4% 25.11%
Announcement Date 09/03/22 19/03/23 12/03/24 17/03/25 30/03/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aboitiz Power Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 45.8% 28.77% 32.79% 36.32% 27.07% 26.03% 24.5% 25.34%
EBIT Margin (%) 35.55% 22.66% 15.35% 20.86% 18.9% 19.79% 19.85% 19.94%
EBT Margin (%) 22.41% 16.86% 21.12% 23.26% 14.65% 22.05% 22.63% 22.85%
Net margin (%) 18.94% 14.19% 15.98% 17.17% 9.8% 16.04% 16.3% 15.95%
FCF margin (%) 25.49% 10.93% 15.01% 12.13% 12.24% 11.95% 20.05% 22.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) 134.59% 76.99% 93.88% 70.68% 124.92% 74.49% 122.99% 138.6%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.05% 5.85% 6.64% 6.75% 5.81% 8.18% 7.1% 9.3%
ROE 15.15% 16.61% 18.33% 17.69% 16.39% 16.18% 15.93% 17.54%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.52x 3.29x 2.69x 2.6x 5.09x 4.68x 4.46x 4.95x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.32x 8.66x 5.88x 7.78x 11.26x 10.19x 5.46x 5.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.53% 6.71% 9.27% 11.22% 13.82% 26.36% 14.85% 11.02%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.43% 23.32% 28.26% 30.9% 51.04% 101.29% 60.61% 43.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 29.53% 61.39% 61.75% 92.52% 112.88% 220.63% 74.09% 49.84%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.937 4.649 6.869 6.402 7.178 5.537 5.81 -
Change - -5.82% 47.74% -6.81% 12.13% -22.87% 4.93% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.85 1.87 2.3 1.45 2.28 2.267 2.381 2.679
Change - 120% 22.99% -36.96% 57.24% -0.57% 5.03% 12.52%
Book Value Per Share 1 20.11 23.25 24.62 28.2 27.86 31.5 33.73 35.42
Change - 15.65% 5.86% 14.58% -1.23% 13.07% 7.08% 5.03%
EPS 1 2.83 3.74 4.52 4.7 2.7 4.939 5.364 5.999
Change - 32.16% 20.86% 3.98% -42.55% 82.92% 8.62% 11.84%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 73,58,604 73,58,604 72,05,854 72,05,854 72,05,854 72,05,854 72,05,854 72,05,854
Announcement Date 09/03/22 19/03/23 12/03/24 17/03/25 30/03/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.21x 8.48x
PBR 1.44x 1.35x
EV / Sales 2.69x 2.47x
Yield 4.98% 5.23%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
45.50PHP
Average target price
51.88PHP
Spread / Average Target
+14.02%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. AP Stock
  4. Financials Aboitiz Power Corporation