Projected Income Statement: Traton SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: Traton SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 8,026 15,977 19,180 19,921 21,688 22,591 21,857 21,120
Change - 99.07% 20.05% 3.86% 8.87% 4.16% -3.25% -3.37%
Announcement Date 10/03/21 15/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 10/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Traton SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 995 1,131 2,051 2,270 2,780 2,970 2,826 2,990
Change - 13.67% 81.34% 10.68% 22.47% 6.85% -4.88% 5.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 992 403 -2,711 1,061 577 1,004 2,152 2,376
Change - -59.38% -772.7% 139.14% -45.62% 74.07% 114.25% 10.4%
Announcement Date 10/03/21 15/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 10/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Traton SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.92% 13.16% 11.59% 14.94% 13% 11.98% 13.36% 14.19%
EBIT Margin (%) 0.36% 5.22% 5.13% 9.73% 9.23% 6.2% 7.56% 8.39%
EBT Margin (%) -0.15% 2.12% 3.87% 6.94% 7.52% 4.89% 6.77% 7.81%
Net margin (%) -0.45% 1.49% 2.83% 5.23% 5.91% 3.56% 5.03% 5.69%
FCF margin (%) 4.39% 1.32% -6.72% 2.26% 1.22% 2.3% 4.76% 4.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) -982.18% 88.18% -237.6% 43.29% 20.58% 64.65% 94.53% 87.01%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.3% 0.93% 2.01% 4.09% 4.41% 2.54% 2.77% 3.42%
ROE 0.98% 3.46% 8.21% 15.89% 16.34% 9.49% 12.19% 13.32%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6x 3.97x 4.1x 2.85x 3.51x 4.33x 3.62x 3.1x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.09x 39.65x -7.07x 18.78x 37.59x 22.49x 10.16x 8.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.41% 3.69% 5.08% 4.84% 5.86% 6.82% 6.25% 6.23%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 74.42% 28.07% 43.88% 32.42% 45.03% 56.87% 46.76% 43.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.3% 280.65% -75.65% 213.95% 481.8% 295.74% 131.3% 125.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.974 3.068 -1.32 5.166 4.68 5.152 7.353 8.492
Change - -22.8% -143.02% 491.36% -9.41% 10.08% 42.72% 15.49%
Dividend per Share 1 0.25 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.7 1.035 1.418 1.751
Change - 100% 40% 114.29% 13.33% -39.13% 37.01% 23.51%
Book Value Per Share 1 25.88 26.89 28.74 32.96 35.68 35.69 40.88 45
Change - 3.9% 6.87% 14.71% 8.23% 0.03% 14.55% 10.09%
EPS 1 -0.2 0.91 2.28 4.9 5.61 3.312 4.617 5.469
Change - 555% 150.55% 114.91% 14.49% -40.96% 39.41% 18.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000
Announcement Date 10/03/21 15/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 10/03/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 9.45x 6.78x
PBR 0.88x 0.77x
EV / Sales 0.88x 0.83x
Yield 3.31% 4.53%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
30.80EUR
Average target price
32.44EUR
Spread / Average Target
+5.33%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise