Projected Income Statement: Traton SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: Traton SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 15,977 19,180 19,921 21,688 24,564 24,864 24,363 24,121
Change - 20.05% 3.86% 8.87% 13.26% 1.22% -2.01% -0.99%
Announcement Date 15/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 10/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Traton SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,131 2,051 2,270 2,780 2,796 2,751 2,883 2,981
Change - 81.34% 10.68% 22.47% 0.58% -1.63% 4.82% 3.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 403 -2,711 1,061 577 1,643 1,390 2,282 2,650
Change - -772.7% 139.14% -45.62% 184.75% -15.38% 64.18% 16.09%
Announcement Date 15/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 10/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Traton SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.16% 11.59% 14.94% 13% 13.52% 12.94% 14.06% 14.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.22% 5.13% 9.73% 9.23% 6.29% 6.7% 8.1% 8.72%
EBT Margin (%) 2.12% 3.87% 6.94% 7.52% 4.59% 5.97% 7.6% 8.53%
Net margin (%) 1.49% 2.83% 5.23% 5.91% 3.51% 4.39% 5.77% 6.25%
FCF margin (%) 1.32% -6.72% 2.26% 1.22% 3.73% 3.04% 4.7% 5.16%
FCF / Net Income (%) 88.18% -237.6% 43.29% 20.58% 106.21% 69.24% 81.44% 82.55%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.93% 2.01% 4.09% 4.41% 2.31% 2.72% 3.59% 3.82%
ROE 3.46% 8.21% 15.89% 16.34% 8.48% 10.76% 12.72% 13.38%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.97x 4.1x 2.85x 3.51x 4.13x 4.2x 3.57x 3.19x
Debt / Free cash flow 39.65x -7.07x 18.78x 37.59x 14.95x 17.88x 10.67x 9.1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.69% 5.08% 4.84% 5.86% 6.35% 6.02% 5.93% 5.8%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.07% 43.88% 32.42% 45.03% 46.96% 46.49% 42.19% 39.47%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 280.65% -75.65% 213.95% 481.8% 170.18% 197.84% 126.32% 112.5%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.068 -1.32 5.166 4.68 1.804 6.621 8.237 8.891
Change - -143.02% 491.36% -9.41% -61.45% 267.04% 24.4% 7.93%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.7 0.93 1.218 1.684 2.002
Change - 40% 114.29% 13.33% -45.29% 30.97% 38.28% 18.86%
Book Value Per Share 1 26.89 28.74 32.96 35.68 37.27 39.93 44.11 48.89
Change - 6.87% 14.71% 8.23% 4.46% 7.16% 10.45% 10.85%
EPS 1 0.91 2.28 4.9 5.61 3.09 3.979 5.592 6.412
Change - 150.55% 114.91% 14.49% -44.92% 28.77% 40.53% 14.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000
Announcement Date 15/03/22 07/03/23 05/03/24 10/03/25 03/03/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 8.15x 5.8x
PBR 0.81x 0.74x
EV / Sales 0.9x 0.84x
Yield 3.76% 5.2%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
32.42EUR
Average target price
34.61EUR
Spread / Average Target
+6.74%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise