Projected Income Statement: The Carlyle Group Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: The Carlyle Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 5,283 6,529 6,979 6,911 10,218 -16.9 -297 -2,210
Change - 23.59% 6.89% -0.97% 47.85% -100.17% -1,657.4% -644.11%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 11/02/25 06/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: The Carlyle Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 41.4 40.6 66.6 77.7 99.4 52.5 60.5 116
Change - -1.93% 64.04% 16.67% 27.93% -47.18% 15.24% 91.74%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - -419.9 138.3 -837.2 -3,375 1,370 2,079 1,892
Change - - 132.94% -705.35% -303.12% 140.59% 51.77% -9%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 11/02/25 06/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: The Carlyle Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 46.09% 44.26% 43.13% 43.01% 44.73% 36.32% 35.81% 37.43%
EBIT Margin (%) 45.33% 43.37% 42.01% 41.73% 43.35% 41.23% 42.47% 43.28%
EBT Margin (%) - 35.73% -17.65% 38.13% 29.71% 32.02% 29.88% 39.01%
Net margin (%) - 27.83% -17.87% 27.91% 20.73% 38.59% 36.51% 34.44%
FCF margin (%) - -9.54% 4.06% -22.9% -86.5% 36.71% 42% 33.82%
FCF / Net Income (%) - -34.28% -22.73% -82.05% -417.32% 95.13% 115.05% 98.18%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.68% 7.39% 5.52% 4.61% 3.1% 5.1% 5.8% 5.8%
ROE 44.83% 27.41% 19.58% 22.8% 12.07% 20.09% 24.49% 24.76%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.32x 3.35x 4.75x 4.4x 5.85x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - -15.55x 50.47x -8.25x -3.03x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.84% 0.92% 1.96% 2.13% 2.55% 1.41% 1.22% 2.07%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 1.81% 2.08% 4.54% 4.94% 5.7% 3.87% 3.41% 5.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -9.67% 48.16% -9.28% -2.95% 3.83% 2.91% 6.13%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.94 -1.037 0.567 -2.064 -9.068 4.616 4.581 -
Change - -121% 154.67% -464% -339.38% 150.9% -0.75% -
Dividend per Share 1 1 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.463 1.623
Change - 30% 7.69% 0% 0% 0% 4.52% 10.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 14.86 17.17 16.01 17.77 19.75 45.87 36.32 40.03
Change - 15.59% -6.76% 11% 11.12% 132.29% -20.82% 10.2%
EPS 1 - 3.35 -1.68 2.77 2.18 3.133 4.252 4.678
Change - - -150.15% 264.88% -21.3% 43.72% 35.72% 10.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,56,462 3,63,605 3,60,796 3,57,681 3,60,410 3,59,974 3,59,974 3,59,974
Announcement Date 03/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 11/02/25 06/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.7x 10.8x
PBR 1x 1.27x
EV / Sales 4.44x 3.29x
Yield 3.04% 3.18%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
46.07USD
Average target price
56.69USD
Spread / Average Target
+23.05%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials The Carlyle Group Inc.