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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 533.00 HKD | +0.19% |
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-4.82% | -11.02% |
| 16/02 | Big tech stocks lose billions as AI spending fears hit valuations | RE |
| 14/02 | China's ByteDance releases Doubao 2.0 AI model for 'agent era' | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Tencent Holdings Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,82,064 | 5,60,118 | 5,54,552 | 6,09,015 | 6,60,257 | 7,51,523 | 8,25,554 | 9,05,784 |
| Change | - | 16.19% | -0.99% | 9.82% | 8.41% | 13.82% | 9.85% | 9.72% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,70,680 | 1,73,173 | 1,64,037 | 2,35,454 | 2,77,012 | 3,28,113 | 3,74,019 | 4,22,292 |
| Change | - | 1.46% | -5.28% | 43.54% | 17.65% | 18.45% | 13.99% | 12.91% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,84,237 | 2,71,620 | 2,35,706 | 1,60,074 | 2,08,099 | 2,50,709 | 2,87,313 | 3,22,479 |
| Change | - | 47.43% | -13.22% | -32.09% | 30% | 20.48% | 14.6% | 12.24% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -7,887 | -7,114 | -9,985 | -11,885 | -11,981 | -14,260 | -13,303 | -13,096 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,80,022 | 2,48,062 | 2,10,225 | 1,61,324 | 2,41,485 | 2,72,318 | 3,10,787 | 3,48,492 |
| Change | - | 37.8% | -15.25% | -23.26% | 49.69% | 12.77% | 14.13% | 12.13% |
| Net income 1 | 1,59,847 | 2,24,822 | 1,88,243 | 1,15,216 | 1,94,073 | 2,20,456 | 2,48,601 | 2,79,697 |
| Change | - | 40.65% | -16.27% | -38.79% | 68.44% | 13.59% | 12.77% | 12.51% |
| Announcement Date | 24/03/21 | 23/03/22 | 22/03/23 | 20/03/24 | 19/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Tencent Holdings Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 11,063 | -20,243 | -14,832 | 54,740 | -76,798 | -1,32,362 | -2,58,306 | -3,84,025 |
| Change | - | -282.98% | 26.73% | 469.07% | -240.3% | -72.35% | -95.15% | -48.67% |
| Announcement Date | 24/03/21 | 23/03/22 | 22/03/23 | 20/03/24 | 19/03/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Tencent Holdings Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 33,960 | 33,392 | 18,014 | 23,893 | 76,760 | 97,376 | 99,364 | 1,09,602 |
| Change | - | -1.67% | -46.05% | 32.64% | 221.27% | 26.86% | 2.04% | 10.3% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,60,159 | 1,41,794 | 1,28,077 | 1,98,069 | 1,81,761 | 2,21,164 | 2,60,881 | 3,17,461 |
| Change | - | -11.47% | -9.67% | 54.65% | -8.23% | 21.68% | 17.96% | 21.69% |
| Announcement Date | 24/03/21 | 23/03/22 | 22/03/23 | 20/03/24 | 19/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Tencent Holdings Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 35.41% | 30.92% | 29.58% | 38.66% | 41.96% | 43.66% | 45.31% | 46.62% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 38.22% | 48.49% | 42.5% | 26.28% | 31.52% | 33.36% | 34.8% | 35.6% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 37.34% | 44.29% | 37.91% | 26.49% | 36.57% | 36.24% | 37.65% | 38.47% |
| Net margin (%) | 33.16% | 40.14% | 33.95% | 18.92% | 29.39% | 29.33% | 30.11% | 30.88% |
| FCF margin (%) | 33.22% | 25.32% | 23.1% | 32.52% | 27.53% | 29.43% | 31.6% | 35.05% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 100.2% | 63.07% | 68.04% | 171.91% | 93.66% | 100.32% | 104.94% | 113.5% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 13.98% | 15.26% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 11.56% | 12.26% | 12.46% | 12.11% |
| ROE | 28.12% | 29.77% | 24.64% | 15.06% | 21.78% | 21.52% | 20.82% | 20.05% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.06x | - | - | 0.23x | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.07x | - | - | 0.28x | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 7.04% | 5.96% | 3.25% | 3.92% | 11.63% | 12.96% | 12.04% | 12.1% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 19.9% | 19.28% | 10.98% | 10.15% | 27.71% | 29.68% | 26.57% | 25.95% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 21.2% | 23.55% | 14.06% | 12.06% | 42.23% | 44.03% | 38.09% | 34.52% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 20.12 | 18.07 | 15.07 | 23.1 | 27.48 | 31.73 | 36.95 | 42.89 |
| Change | - | -10.18% | -16.6% | 53.28% | 18.97% | 15.46% | 16.47% | 16.06% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.344 | 1.298 | 2.4 | 3.129 | 3.164 | 4.82 | 5.312 | 6.189 |
| Change | - | -3.39% | 84.86% | 30.36% | 1.12% | 52.35% | 10.22% | 16.51% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 74.18 | 84.62 | 75.71 | 85.52 | 103.5 | 129.7 | 152.5 | 186.2 |
| Change | - | 14.08% | -10.53% | 12.95% | 21% | 25.29% | 17.59% | 22.15% |
| EPS 1 | 16.52 | 23.16 | 19.34 | 11.89 | 20.49 | 23.95 | 27.33 | 31.19 |
| Change | - | 40.19% | -16.5% | -38.54% | 72.34% | 16.89% | 14.15% | 14.1% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 95,23,125 | 95,40,009 | 94,08,797 | 93,52,822 | 91,32,925 | 91,06,356 | 91,06,356 | 91,06,356 |
| Announcement Date | 24/03/21 | 23/03/22 | 22/03/23 | 20/03/24 | 19/03/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 19.7x | 17.2x |
| PBR | 3.63x | 3.09x |
| EV / Sales | 5.53x | 4.88x |
| Yield | 1.02% | 1.13% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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