Projected Income Statement: Tencent Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tencent Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 11,063 -20,243 -14,832 54,740 -76,798 -1,16,166 -2,29,761 -3,88,445
Change - -282.98% 26.73% 469.07% -240.3% -51.26% -97.79% -69.06%
Announcement Date 24/03/21 23/03/22 22/03/23 20/03/24 19/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tencent Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 33,960 33,392 18,014 23,893 76,760 1,03,519 1,01,771 1,04,810
Change - -1.67% -46.05% 32.64% 221.27% 34.86% -1.69% 2.99%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,60,159 1,41,794 1,28,077 1,98,069 1,81,761 2,01,546 2,47,354 2,71,024
Change - -11.47% -9.67% 54.65% -8.23% 10.88% 22.73% 9.57%
Announcement Date 24/03/21 23/03/22 22/03/23 20/03/24 19/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tencent Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.41% 30.92% 29.58% 38.66% 41.96% 43.1% 44.2% 45.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 38.22% 48.49% 42.5% 26.28% 31.52% 33.99% 35.18% 35.72%
EBT Margin (%) 37.34% 44.29% 37.91% 26.49% 36.57% 36.02% 37.34% 38.17%
Net margin (%) 33.16% 40.14% 33.95% 18.92% 29.39% 28.53% 29.85% 30.64%
FCF margin (%) 33.22% 25.32% 23.1% 32.52% 27.53% 27.52% 31% 31.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 100.2% 63.07% 68.04% 171.91% 93.66% 96.47% 103.87% 101.77%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.98% 15.26% 11.8% 7.3% 11.56% 11.88% 12.05% 11.65%
ROE 28.12% 29.77% 24.64% 15.06% 21.78% 20.82% 20.25% 19.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.06x - - 0.23x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.07x - - 0.28x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.04% 5.96% 3.25% 3.92% 11.63% 14.13% 12.76% 12.06%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.9% 19.28% 10.98% 10.15% 27.71% 32.79% 28.86% 26.64%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 21.2% 23.55% 14.06% 12.06% 42.23% 51.36% 41.14% 38.67%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.12 18.07 15.07 23.1 27.48 29.63 34.03 39.45
Change - -10.18% -16.6% 53.28% 18.97% 7.82% 14.85% 15.94%
Dividend per Share 1 1.344 1.298 2.4 3.129 3.164 4.451 5.148 5.942
Change - -3.39% 84.86% 30.36% 1.12% 40.68% 15.68% 15.42%
Book Value Per Share 1 74.18 84.62 75.71 85.52 103.5 128.9 147.3 171.5
Change - 14.08% -10.53% 12.95% 21% 24.58% 14.28% 16.43%
EPS 1 16.52 23.16 19.34 11.89 20.49 22.65 26.07 29.57
Change - 40.19% -16.5% -38.54% 72.34% 10.55% 15.13% 13.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 95,23,125 95,40,009 94,08,797 93,52,822 91,32,925 90,65,388 90,65,388 90,65,388
Announcement Date 24/03/21 23/03/22 22/03/23 20/03/24 19/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 20x 17.4x
PBR 3.52x 3.08x
EV / Sales 5.46x 4.87x
Yield 0.98% 1.13%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
50
Last Close Price
453.89CNY
Average target price
588.08CNY
Spread / Average Target
+29.57%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 700 Stock
  4. Financials Tencent Holdings Limited