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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 6,749.00 GBX | -0.56% |
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-7.99% | +12.60% |
| 06/03 | Australian Shares Decline; Deep Yellow Posts Wider Fiscal H1 Loss as Revenue Falls | MT |
| 06/03 | February ASX 200 Rally Led By Banks, Materials Stocks, BofA Securities Says | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Rio Tinto plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 63,495 | 55,554 | 54,041 | 53,658 | 57,638 | 60,831 | 62,283 | 65,248 |
| Change | - | -12.51% | -2.72% | -0.71% | 7.42% | 5.54% | 2.39% | 4.76% |
| EBITDA 1 | 37,720 | 26,272 | 23,892 | 23,314 | 25,363 | 27,991 | 27,871 | 29,851 |
| Change | - | -30.35% | -9.06% | -2.42% | 8.79% | 10.36% | -0.43% | 7.11% |
| EBIT 1 | 33,023 | 20,508 | 15,498 | 16,491 | 16,414 | 20,736 | 21,244 | 22,122 |
| Change | - | -37.9% | -24.43% | 6.41% | -0.47% | 26.33% | 2.45% | 4.13% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -179 | -156 | -431 | -249 | -597 | -780.8 | -763.7 | -726.2 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 30,833 | 18,662 | 13,785 | 15,615 | 14,568 | 18,939 | 19,809 | 21,229 |
| Change | - | -39.47% | -26.13% | 13.28% | -6.71% | 30% | 4.59% | 7.17% |
| Net income 1 | 21,094 | 12,420 | 10,058 | 11,552 | 9,966 | 13,244 | 13,842 | 14,222 |
| Change | - | -41.12% | -19.02% | 14.85% | -13.73% | 32.9% | 4.51% | 2.75% |
| Announcement Date | 23/02/22 | 22/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | 19/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Rio Tinto plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -1,576 | 4,188 | 4,231 | 5,491 | 14,362 | 14,003 | 12,254 | 9,961 |
| Change | - | 365.74% | 1.03% | 29.78% | 161.56% | -2.5% | -12.49% | -18.71% |
| Announcement Date | 23/02/22 | 22/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | 19/02/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Rio Tinto plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 7,384 | 6,750 | 7,086 | 9,621 | 12,335 | 10,571 | 9,716 | 8,889 |
| Change | - | -8.59% | 4.98% | 35.77% | 28.21% | -14.3% | -8.08% | -8.51% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 17,961 | 9,010 | 7,657 | 5,978 | 5,978 | 10,595 | 11,390 | 12,964 |
| Change | - | -49.84% | -15.02% | -21.93% | 0% | 77.24% | 7.5% | 13.82% |
| Announcement Date | 23/02/22 | 22/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | 19/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Rio Tinto plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 59.41% | 47.29% | 44.21% | 43.45% | 44% | 46.01% | 44.75% | 45.75% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 52.01% | 36.92% | 28.68% | 30.73% | 28.48% | 34.09% | 34.11% | 33.9% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 48.56% | 33.59% | 25.51% | 29.1% | 25.27% | 31.13% | 31.8% | 32.54% |
| Net margin (%) | 33.22% | 22.36% | 18.61% | 21.53% | 17.29% | 21.77% | 22.22% | 21.8% |
| FCF margin (%) | 28.29% | 16.22% | 14.17% | 11.14% | 10.37% | 17.42% | 18.29% | 19.87% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 85.15% | 72.54% | 76.13% | 51.75% | 59.98% | 80% | 82.29% | 91.16% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 21.06% | 12.44% | 10.04% | 11.2% | 8.63% | 10.98% | 10.41% | 10.44% |
| ROE | 42.84% | 24.45% | 19.12% | 21.04% | 16.02% | 19.89% | 18.58% | 17.55% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 0.16x | 0.18x | 0.24x | 0.57x | 0.5x | 0.44x | 0.33x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | 0.46x | 0.55x | 0.92x | 2.4x | 1.32x | 1.08x | 0.77x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 11.63% | 12.15% | 13.11% | 17.93% | 21.4% | 17.38% | 15.6% | 13.62% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 19.58% | 25.69% | 29.66% | 41.27% | 48.63% | 37.76% | 34.86% | 29.78% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 41.11% | 74.92% | 92.54% | 160.94% | 206.34% | 99.77% | 85.3% | 68.57% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 15.56 | 9.901 | 9.292 | 9.55 | 10.28 | 11.59 | 11.92 | 12.49 |
| Change | - | -36.37% | -6.15% | 2.77% | 7.61% | 12.75% | 2.89% | 4.74% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 10.4 | 4.92 | 4.35 | 4.02 | 4.02 | 4.666 | 4.697 | 4.929 |
| Change | - | -52.69% | -11.59% | -7.59% | 0% | 16.06% | 0.67% | 4.93% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 31.78 | 30.98 | 33.67 | 42.79 | 38.3 | 42.12 | 44.91 | 48.78 |
| Change | - | -2.53% | 8.68% | 27.11% | -10.49% | 9.96% | 6.64% | 8.62% |
| EPS 1 | 12.95 | 7.621 | 6.165 | 7.072 | 6.084 | 7.985 | 8.381 | 8.477 |
| Change | - | -41.15% | -19.11% | 14.71% | -13.97% | 31.24% | 4.97% | 1.14% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 16,18,208 | 16,19,647 | 16,21,558 | 16,23,047 | 16,24,926 | 16,26,032 | 16,26,032 | 16,26,032 |
| Announcement Date | 23/02/22 | 22/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | 19/02/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 11.3x | 10.8x |
| PBR | 2.15x | 2.01x |
| EV / Sales | 2.77x | 2.68x |
| Yield | 5.16% | 5.2% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Global
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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