Projected Income Statement: PetroChina Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: PetroChina Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,02,787 2,53,311 1,35,111 64,378 21,401 13,431 -47,164 -97,043
Change - -16.34% -46.66% -52.35% -66.76% -37.24% -451.16% -105.76%
Announcement Date 31/03/22 29/03/23 25/03/24 28/03/25 29/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: PetroChina Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,51,178 2,74,307 2,75,338 2,75,849 2,69,089 2,72,441 2,62,904 2,61,927
Change - 9.21% 0.38% 0.19% -2.45% 1.25% -3.5% -0.37%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 90,291 1,19,461 1,81,258 1,30,683 1,43,421 1,92,656 1,85,668 2,01,171
Change - 32.31% 51.73% -27.9% 9.75% 34.33% -3.63% 8.35%
Announcement Date 31/03/22 29/03/23 25/03/24 28/03/25 29/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: PetroChina Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.28% 14.04% 16.04% 16.24% 16.32% 15.98% 16.77% 16.95%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.97% 6.69% 7.82% 7.96% 7.65% 8.73% 8.5% 8.55%
EBT Margin (%) 6.05% 6.58% 7.89% 8.22% 7.9% 8.48% 8.49% 8.79%
Net margin (%) 3.53% 4.61% 5.35% 5.61% 5.49% 5.83% 5.92% 6.09%
FCF margin (%) 3.45% 3.69% 6.02% 4.45% 5.01% 6.05% 6.15% 6.52%
FCF / Net Income (%) 97.96% 79.97% 112.48% 79.35% 91.17% 103.79% 103.76% 106.94%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.69% 5.77% 5.94% 5.98% 5.64% 6.64% 6.21% 6.24%
ROE 7.3% 11.35% 11.46% 11.1% 10.15% 11.47% 10.5% 10.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.81x 0.56x 0.28x 0.13x 0.05x 0.13x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 3.35x 2.12x 0.75x 0.49x 0.15x 0.34x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.61% 8.47% 9.14% 9.39% 9.39% 8.56% 8.71% 8.48%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 67.27% 60.33% 57.02% 57.81% 57.58% 53.56% 51.91% 50.07%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 278.19% 229.62% 151.9% 211.08% 187.62% 158.7% 155.21% 130.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.866 2.162 2.495 2.221 2.254 2.011 2.159 2.142
Change - 15.85% 15.42% -10.97% 1.47% -10.77% 7.37% -0.81%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2266 0.4226 0.44 0.47 0.47 0.548 0.5237 0.5442
Change - 86.47% 4.12% 6.82% 0% 16.6% -4.44% 3.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.9 7.482 7.902 8.548 8.665 9.029 9.426 9.823
Change - 8.43% 5.61% 8.18% 1.37% 4.21% 4.4% 4.2%
EPS 1 0.5 0.82 0.88 0.9 0.86 1.049 1.002 1.028
Change - 64% 7.32% 2.27% -4.44% 21.93% -4.45% 2.6%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 18,30,20,978 18,30,20,978 18,30,20,978 18,30,20,978 18,30,20,978 18,30,20,978 18,30,20,978 18,30,20,978
Announcement Date 31/03/22 29/03/23 25/03/24 28/03/25 29/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.23x 8.61x
PBR 0.96x 0.92x
EV / Sales 0.64x 0.64x
Yield 6.35% 6.07%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
8.628CNY
Average target price
10.23CNY
Spread / Average Target
+18.56%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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