Projected Income Statement: Pernod Ricard

Forecast Balance Sheet: Pernod Ricard

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,452 8,657 10,273 10,951 10,727 10,139 10,108 9,892
Change - 16.17% 18.67% 6.6% -2.05% -5.48% -0.31% -2.14%
Announcement Date 01/09/21 01/09/22 31/08/23 29/08/24 28/08/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Pernod Ricard

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 370 481 610 766 656 527.1 486.8 494.8
Change - 30% 26.82% 25.57% -14.36% -19.65% -7.65% 1.65%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,628 1,813 1,431 963 1,133 1,073 1,193 1,227
Change - 11.36% -21.07% -32.7% 17.65% -5.26% 11.12% 2.86%
Announcement Date 01/09/21 01/09/22 31/08/23 29/08/24 28/08/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Pernod Ricard

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.62% 31.82% 31.02% 30.67% 30.78% 30.14% 30.38% 30.65%
EBIT Margin (%) 27.46% 28.26% 27.59% 26.87% 26.93% 25.78% 26.11% 26.35%
EBT Margin (%) 22.51% 25.27% 24.17% 19.59% 20.53% 20.79% 21.75% 22.24%
Net margin (%) 14.79% 18.65% 18.64% 12.73% 14.84% 14.68% 15.27% 15.78%
FCF margin (%) 18.45% 16.94% 11.79% 8.3% 10.34% 11.3% 12.57% 12.56%
FCF / Net Income (%) 124.75% 90.83% 63.26% 65.24% 69.68% 77.01% 82.29% 79.54%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.06% 5.86% 6.35% 5.2% 4.8% 3.86% 4% 4.21%
ROE 11.2% 12.97% 14.78% 12.71% 11.81% 9.31% 9.42% 9.63%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.67x 2.54x 2.73x 3.08x 3.18x 3.54x 3.51x 3.3x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.58x 4.77x 7.18x 11.37x 9.47x 9.45x 8.47x 8.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.19% 4.49% 5.03% 6.6% 5.99% 5.55% 5.13% 5.06%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.26% 14.13% 16.2% 21.54% 19.45% 18.41% 16.88% 16.52%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.73% 26.53% 42.63% 79.54% 57.9% 49.1% 40.81% 40.33%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.64 8.833 7.914 - 7.095 7.108 7.403 7.632
Change - 15.61% -10.4% - - 0.18% 4.15% 3.09%
Dividend per Share 1 3.12 4.12 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.666 4.338 4.671
Change - 32.05% 14.08% 0% 0% -0.72% -7.04% 7.68%
Book Value Per Share 1 56.63 61.81 61.48 62.17 60.3 61.21 62.65 64.5
Change - 9.16% -0.53% 1.11% -3% 1.52% 2.34% 2.96%
EPS 1 4.99 7.685 8.806 5.83 6.452 5.544 5.778 6.12
Change - 54.01% 14.58% -33.8% 10.68% -14.08% 4.23% 5.91%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,60,829 2,59,563 2,56,132 2,50,009 2,51,623 2,51,673 2,51,673 2,51,673
Announcement Date 01/09/21 01/09/22 31/08/23 29/08/24 28/08/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 11.2x 10.7x
PBR 1.01x 0.99x
EV / Sales 2.71x 2.71x
Yield 7.51% 6.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
62.10EUR
Average target price
87.03EUR
Spread / Average Target
+40.14%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RI Stock
  4. Financials Pernod Ricard