Projected Income Statement: ORIX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 39,11,858 44,86,659 50,15,164 49,60,815 50,86,895 57,55,094 59,79,496 61,67,239
Change - 14.69% 11.78% -1.08% 2.54% 13.14% 3.9% 3.14%
Announcement Date 11/05/22 10/05/23 08/05/24 12/05/25 11/05/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 7,53,953 9,17,296 10,80,074 12,00,874 13,57,672 13,32,435
Change - 21.66% 17.75% 11.18% 13.06% -1.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 9,86,142 6,56,290 4,92,300 6,60,310 9,31,100 9,98,868
Change - -33.45% -24.99% 34.13% 41.01% 7.28%
Announcement Date 29/06/21 29/06/22 26/06/23 27/06/24 24/06/25 22/06/26
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.09% 25.03% 25.76% 25.44% 25.85% 10.64% 14.19% 14%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.99% 11.78% 12.82% 11.54% 13.7% 12.16% 13.94% 14.16%
EBT Margin (%) 20.03% 13.77% 16.7% 16.71% 20.76% 33.36% 20.33% 20.26%
Net margin (%) 12.38% 10.24% 12.3% 12.23% 13.43% 24.51% 14.23% 14.2%
FCF margin (%) 24.84% - 19.33% 16.14% 17% - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) 200.61% - 157.17% 131.92% 126.63% - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 3.63% 2.49% 2.98% 2.9% 3.97% 5.09% 2.97% 2.96%
ROE 9.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 10.4% 20.36% 10.19% 10.81%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.19x 6.72x 6.92x 6.78x 5.91x 14.25x 11.85x 11.5x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.25x - 9.22x 10.69x 8.98x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 36.4% 40.51% 24.85% 29.09% 24.11% - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 145.04% 161.83% 96.47% 114.35% 93.28% - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 146.49% - 128.56% 180.29% 141.81% - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 533.9 530.8 612.7 657.5 762.7 - - -
Change - -0.58% 15.44% 7.3% 16.01% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 85.6 85.6 98.6 120 156.1 197.9 195.7 209.1
Change - 0% 15.19% 21.71% 30.07% 26.75% -1.08% 6.83%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,733 2,868 3,423 3,599 4,080 4,587 4,778 5,026
Change - 4.95% 19.34% 5.15% 13.36% 12.42% 4.17% 5.2%
EPS 1 259.4 231.4 298.6 307.7 400.3 825.4 481.1 533
Change - -10.8% 29.05% 3.08% 30.07% 106.21% -41.72% 10.79%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 11,65,774 11,46,829 11,51,412 11,36,168 10,59,384 10,95,268 10,95,268 10,95,268
Announcement Date 11/05/22 10/05/23 08/05/24 12/05/25 11/05/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 7.68x 13.2x
PBR 1.38x 1.33x
EV / Sales 3.34x 3.63x
Yield 3.12% 3.09%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
6,336.00JPY
Average target price
6,678.89JPY
Spread / Average Target
+5.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 8591 Stock
  4. Financials ORIX Corporation