Projected Income Statement: ORIX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: ORIX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - ORIX Corporation
Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 39,11,858 44,86,659 50,15,164 49,60,815 50,86,895 - - -
Change - 14.69% 11.78% -1.08% 2.54% - - -
Announcement Date 11/05/22 10/05/23 08/05/24 12/05/25 11/05/26 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 7,53,953 9,17,296 10,80,074 12,00,874 13,57,672 13,32,435
Change - 21.66% 17.75% 11.18% 13.06% -1.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 9,86,142 6,56,290 4,92,300 6,60,310 9,31,100 9,98,868
Change - -33.45% -24.99% 34.13% 41.01% 7.28%
Announcement Date 29/06/21 29/06/22 26/06/23 27/06/24 24/06/25 22/06/26
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.09% 25.03% 25.76% 25.44% 25.85% 12.24% 13.47% 13.39%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.99% 11.78% 12.82% 11.54% 13.7% 13.83% 13.51% 13.94%
EBT Margin (%) 20.03% 13.77% 16.7% 16.71% 20.76% 32.99% 19.56% 19.59%
Net margin (%) 12.38% 10.24% 12.3% 12.23% 13.43% 23.73% 13.57% 13.63%
FCF margin (%) 24.84% - 19.33% 16.14% 17% - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) 200.61% - 157.17% 131.92% 126.63% - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 3.63% 2.49% 2.98% 2.9% 3.97% 4.15% 3.14% 3.16%
ROE 9.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 10.4% 17.35% 10.21% 10.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.19x 6.72x 6.92x 6.78x 5.91x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 6.25x - 9.22x 10.69x 8.98x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 36.4% 40.51% 24.85% 29.09% 24.11% - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 145.04% 161.83% 96.47% 114.35% 93.28% - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 146.49% - 128.56% 180.29% 141.81% - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 533.9 530.8 612.7 657.5 762.7 - - -
Change - -0.58% 15.44% 7.3% 16.01% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 85.6 85.6 98.6 120 156.1 196 195.2 209.6
Change - 0% 15.19% 21.71% 30.07% 25.58% -0.43% 7.38%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,733 2,868 3,423 3,599 4,080 4,563 4,707 4,957
Change - 4.95% 19.34% 5.15% 13.36% 11.83% 3.16% 5.31%
EPS 1 259.4 231.4 298.6 307.7 400.3 747.3 475.8 528.2
Change - -10.8% 29.05% 3.08% 30.07% 86.71% -36.34% 11.01%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 11,65,774 11,46,829 11,51,412 11,36,168 10,59,384 10,95,268 10,95,268 10,95,268
Announcement Date 11/05/22 10/05/23 08/05/24 12/05/25 11/05/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 7.76x 12.2x
PBR 1.27x 1.23x
EV / Sales 1.84x 1.74x
Yield 3.38% 3.37%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - ORIX Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - ORIX Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - ORIX Corporation
Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - ORIX Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
5,798.00JPY
Average target price
7,002.22JPY
Spread / Average Target
+20.77%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - ORIX Corporation
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  4. Financials ORIX Corporation