Projected Income Statement: Orange

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orange

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 23,489 24,269 25,298 27,002 22,482 29,314 30,583 29,896
Change - 3.32% 4.24% 6.74% -16.74% 30.39% 4.33% -2.25%
Announcement Date 18/02/21 17/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orange

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,132 7,660 7,371 6,815 6,425 6,601 6,476 6,464
Change - 7.4% -3.77% -7.54% -5.72% 2.74% -1.9% -0.18%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,565 3,576 3,864 5,239 3,770 3,238 3,714 3,952
Change - -35.74% 8.05% 35.58% -28.04% -14.1% 14.69% 6.41%
Announcement Date 18/02/21 17/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orange

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 30% 29.55% 29.82% 29.54% 30.08% 31.16% 32.36% 32.84%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.72% 18.74% 13.67% 12.71% 13.63% 12.34% 15.33% 16.14%
EBT Margin (%) 9.95% 4.09% 8.93% 8.53% 10.57% 7.7% 13.44% 14.32%
Net margin (%) 11.41% 0.55% 4.94% 5.53% 5.84% 3.77% 7.71% 8.31%
FCF margin (%) 13.17% 8.41% 8.89% 11.87% 9.36% 8.02% 9.12% 9.6%
FCF / Net Income (%) 115.41% 1,534.76% 180.06% 214.71% 160.43% 212.71% 118.24% 115.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.5% 0.22% 1.97% 2.22% 2.2% 2.32% 3.21% 3.39%
ROE 14.59% 6.1% 6.69% 7.67% 7.39% 5.68% 9.4% 9.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.85x 1.93x 1.95x 2.07x 1.86x 2.33x 2.32x 2.21x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.22x 6.79x 6.55x 5.15x 5.96x 9.05x 8.23x 7.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.87% 18.01% 16.96% 15.45% 15.96% 16.36% 15.9% 15.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 56.25% 60.96% 56.86% 52.28% 53.06% 52.5% 49.14% 47.8%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 128.16% 214.21% 190.76% 130.08% 170.42% 203.84% 174.35% 163.55%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.731 4.228 4.182 4.531 3.833 3.044 3.679 3.849
Change - -10.64% -1.09% 8.35% -15.4% -20.58% 20.85% 4.62%
Dividend per Share 1 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.72 0.7673 0.7852 0.808
Change - 0% 0% 0% 2.86% 6.57% 2.32% 2.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.98 12.16 11.96 11.97 11.95 11.78 12.46 12.96
Change - -6.33% -1.66% 0.1% -0.14% -1.43% 5.74% 4.06%
EPS 1 1.71 - 0.73 0.85 0.82 0.5756 1.192 1.278
Change - - - 16.44% -3.53% -29.81% 107.04% 7.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 26,58,157 26,31,971 26,57,122 26,59,182 26,58,153 26,58,550 26,58,550 26,58,550
Announcement Date 18/02/21 17/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 23.8x 11.5x
PBR 1.16x 1.1x
EV / Sales 1.63x 1.65x
Yield 5.59% 5.72%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
13.71EUR
Average target price
15.56EUR
Spread / Average Target
+13.53%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise