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Real-time Estimate
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|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 115.64 CHF | +1.76% |
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+1.73% | +5.44% |
| 12:27pm | SciNeuro Grants Novartis Rights for Alzheimer's Disease Drug | MT |
| 11:36am | Swiss stocks - Factors to watch on January 14 | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Novartis AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 48,659 | 51,626 | 50,545 | 46,660 | 51,722 | 55,628 | 57,093 | 59,493 |
| Change | - | 6.1% | -2.09% | -7.69% | 10.85% | 7.55% | 2.63% | 4.2% |
| EBITDA 1 | 16,845 | 18,246 | 18,613 | 17,937 | 21,006 | 23,699 | 23,573 | 24,978 |
| Change | - | 8.32% | 2.01% | -3.63% | 17.11% | 12.82% | -0.53% | 5.96% |
| EBIT 1 | 15,416 | 16,588 | 16,665 | 16,372 | 19,494 | 21,846 | 21,836 | 23,199 |
| Change | - | 7.6% | 0.46% | -1.76% | 19.07% | 12.07% | -0.05% | 6.24% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -947 | -891 | -817 | -633 | -866 | -1,102 | -1,114 | -1,074 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 9,878 | 26,137 | 8,371 | 9,123 | 13,640 | 17,258 | 17,530 | 18,695 |
| Change | - | 164.6% | -67.97% | 8.98% | 49.51% | 26.52% | 1.58% | 6.65% |
| Net income 1 | 8,072 | 24,021 | 6,955 | 14,854 | 11,939 | 14,290 | 14,270 | 15,568 |
| Change | - | 197.58% | -71.05% | 113.57% | -19.62% | 19.69% | -0.14% | 9.1% |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/21 | 02/02/22 | 01/02/23 | 31/01/24 | 31/01/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Novartis AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 24,500 | 8,191 | 9,034 | 12,011 | 17,944 | 20,405 | 24,175 | 20,199 |
| Change | - | -66.57% | 10.29% | 32.95% | 49.4% | 13.71% | 18.48% | -16.45% |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/21 | 02/02/22 | 01/02/23 | 31/01/24 | 31/01/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Novartis AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,275 | 1,378 | 1,198 | 1,060 | 1,366 | 1,463 | 1,570 | 1,630 |
| Change | - | 8.08% | -13.06% | -11.52% | 28.87% | 7.07% | 7.35% | 3.85% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 11,691 | 13,282 | 11,945 | 13,179 | 16,253 | 14,018 | 15,000 | 15,926 |
| Change | - | 13.61% | -10.07% | 10.33% | 23.32% | -13.75% | 7% | 6.18% |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/21 | 02/02/22 | 01/02/23 | 31/01/24 | 31/01/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Novartis AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 34.62% | 35.34% | 36.82% | 38.44% | 40.61% | 42.6% | 41.29% | 41.99% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 31.68% | 32.13% | 32.97% | 35.09% | 37.69% | 39.27% | 38.25% | 38.99% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 20.3% | 50.63% | 16.56% | 19.55% | 26.37% | 31.02% | 30.7% | 31.42% |
| Net margin (%) | 16.59% | 46.53% | 13.76% | 31.83% | 23.08% | 25.69% | 24.99% | 26.17% |
| FCF margin (%) | 24.03% | 25.73% | 23.63% | 28.24% | 31.42% | 25.2% | 26.27% | 26.77% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 144.83% | 55.29% | 171.75% | 88.72% | 136.13% | 98.1% | 105.11% | 102.3% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 6.45% | 10.86% | 10.71% | 12.37% | 15.58% | 15.51% | 14.45% | 15.24% |
| ROE | 23.48% | 22.69% | 21.03% | 25.37% | 34.74% | 40.2% | 39.13% | 39.46% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.45x | 0.45x | 0.49x | 0.67x | 0.85x | 0.86x | 1.03x | 0.81x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 2.1x | 0.62x | 0.76x | 0.91x | 1.1x | 1.46x | 1.61x | 1.27x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.62% | 2.67% | 2.37% | 2.27% | 2.64% | 2.63% | 2.75% | 2.74% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 7.57% | 7.55% | 6.44% | 5.91% | 6.5% | 6.17% | 6.66% | 6.53% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 10.91% | 10.37% | 10.03% | 8.04% | 8.4% | 10.43% | 10.47% | 10.24% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 5.945 | 6.669 | 6.48 | 6.911 | 8.658 | 9.808 | 10.09 | 11.34 |
| Change | - | 12.17% | -2.83% | 6.65% | 25.28% | 13.28% | 2.9% | 12.39% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 3.375 | 3.36 | 3.5 | 3.823 | 3.856 | 4.089 | 4.254 | 4.456 |
| Change | - | -0.46% | 4.17% | 9.23% | 0.88% | 6.03% | 4.04% | 4.76% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 25.08 | 30.28 | 28 | 22.83 | 21.64 | 23.13 | 25.44 | 27.52 |
| Change | - | 20.77% | -7.55% | -18.45% | -5.2% | 6.87% | 9.98% | 8.18% |
| EPS 1 | 3.55 | 10.71 | 3.19 | 7.15 | 5.92 | 7.134 | 7.258 | 7.929 |
| Change | - | 201.69% | -70.21% | 124.14% | -17.2% | 20.5% | 1.74% | 9.24% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 22,74,506 | 22,37,092 | 21,50,980 | 20,55,460 | 19,99,270 | 19,18,792 | 19,18,792 | 19,18,792 |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/21 | 02/02/22 | 01/02/23 | 31/01/24 | 31/01/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 19.9x | 19.5x |
| PBR | 6.13x | 5.57x |
| EV / Sales | 5.26x | 5.19x |
| Yield | 2.88% | 3% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
This composite rating is the result of an average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Capital Efficiency (Composite), Quality of Financial Reporting (Composite), and Financial Health (Composite). The company must be covered by at least 2 of these 3 ratings for the calculation to be performed. We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Novartis AG
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