Projected Income Statement: Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -33,525 1,34,805 1,08,487 1,24,603 1,02,426 82,746 41,606 -66,530
Change - 502.1% -19.52% 14.86% -17.8% -19.21% -49.72% -259.9%
Announcement Date 27/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 24/04/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 29,178 46,980 58,565 56,777 54,972 56,931 57,370 58,012
Change - 61.01% 24.66% -3.05% -3.18% 3.56% 0.77% 1.12%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 44,753 -32,410 57,709 88,855 75,224 89,385 1,07,114 1,20,213
Change - -172.42% 278.06% 53.97% -15.34% 18.83% 19.83% 12.23%
Announcement Date 27/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 24/04/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.41% 24.22% 22.67% 22.89% 24.03% 24.34% 26.45% 27.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.71% 17.37% 16.16% 16.35% 17.64% 18.7% 20.48% 21.35%
EBT Margin (%) 16.11% 17.11% 15.68% 15.92% 17.54% 18.92% 20.69% 21.6%
Net margin (%) 12.37% 11.68% 11.02% 10.81% 12.26% 12.93% 14.2% 14.83%
FCF margin (%) 8.13% -5.3% 8.34% 12.06% 9.84% 10.99% 12.47% 13.24%
FCF / Net Income (%) 65.7% -45.36% 75.63% 111.57% 80.23% 85.04% 87.83% 89.27%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.79% 9.88% 9.38% 13.31% 14.49% 10.53% 12.12% 12.41%
ROE 21.8% 21.3% 20.7% 19.9% 22.5% 22.64% 23.61% 22.97%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.91x 0.69x 0.74x 0.56x 0.42x 0.18x -
Debt / Free cash flow - -4.16x 1.88x 1.4x 1.36x 0.93x 0.39x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.3% 7.68% 8.46% 7.71% 7.19% 7% 6.68% 6.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.75% 31.71% 37.32% 33.68% 29.91% 28.76% 25.25% 23.63%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 65.2% -144.96% 101.48% 63.9% 73.08% 63.69% 53.56% 48.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 166.3 191.4 205.1 219.7 248.9 255.2 287.1 317.7
Change - 15.09% 7.19% 7.11% 13.3% 2.53% 12.51% 10.64%
Dividend per Share 1 36 40 45 53 63 74 83.66 90.92
Change - 11.11% 12.5% 17.78% 18.87% 17.46% 13.06% 8.68%
Book Value Per Share 1 585.1 575.6 674.4 693.3 758.7 854 980.4 1,116
Change - -1.63% 17.16% 2.81% 9.42% 12.57% 14.8% 13.87%
EPS 1 113.8 120.6 128.9 136.9 163.6 182.6 212.8 235.6
Change - 5.92% 6.93% 6.19% 19.48% 11.61% 16.59% 10.71%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,99,526 5,89,006 5,90,541 5,75,817 5,71,747 5,73,496 5,73,496 5,73,496
Announcement Date 27/04/21 27/04/22 27/04/23 25/04/24 24/04/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 21.3x 18.3x
PBR 4.55x 3.97x
EV / Sales 2.84x 2.65x
Yield 1.9% 2.15%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
3,890.00JPY
Average target price
6,530.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+67.87%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 4307 Stock
  4. Financials Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.