Projected Income Statement: Nomura Holdings, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nomura Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - - - - 1,53,38,690 1,15,26,842 1,20,98,923 1,26,54,673
Change - - - - - -24.85% 4.96% 4.59%
Announcement Date 27/04/21 26/04/22 26/04/23 26/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nomura Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
CAPEX 1 2,06,745 1,19,875 1,11,331 1,71,165 1,45,784 1,89,971
Change - -42.02% -7.13% 53.74% -14.83% 30.31%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - - - - -
Change - - - - - -
Announcement Date 30/06/20 25/06/21 24/06/22 28/06/23 26/06/24 23/06/25
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nomura Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - - - - - - - -
EBIT Margin (%) 14.26% 16.62% 11.19% 6.59% 24.94% 27.4% 25.04% 25.37%
EBT Margin (%) 14.26% 16.62% 11.19% 6.59% 24.94% 26.56% 24.95% 25.5%
Net margin (%) 9.47% 10.48% 6.95% 3.99% 18% 17.85% 17.66% 18.39%
FCF margin (%) 40.63% -63.91% -52.78% 2.88% -36.58% - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) 429.16% -609.53% -759.68% 72.15% -203.22% - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 0.53% 0.53% 0.33% 0.53% 0.84% 0.62% 0.55% 0.52%
ROE 5.7% 5.1% 3.1% 5.1% 9.99% 10.45% 9.9% 9.87%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - -22.15x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.65% 0.64% 0.75% 0.31% 0.73% - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - - - - - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 1.6% -1.01% -1.43% 10.85% -1.99% - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 71.01 66.11 51.29 75.3 136.2 - - -
Change - -6.9% -22.42% 46.81% 80.82% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 35 22 17 23 57 52.21 52.08 56.03
Change - -37.14% -22.73% 35.29% 147.83% -8.4% -0.25% 7.58%
Book Value Per Share 1 879.8 965.8 1,048 1,128 1,174 1,249 1,320 1,397
Change - 9.78% 8.54% 7.58% 4.11% 6.38% 5.69% 5.85%
EPS 1 50.11 46.68 30.86 54.97 115.3 129.6 125.5 131.3
Change - -6.84% -33.89% 78.13% 109.75% 12.4% -3.18% 4.65%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 30,59,293 30,17,111 30,02,827 29,98,034 29,55,712 29,26,345 29,26,345 29,26,345
Announcement Date 27/04/21 26/04/22 26/04/23 26/04/24 25/04/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.11x 9.41x
PBR 0.95x 0.89x
EV / Sales 7.19x 7.63x
Yield 4.42% 4.41%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
1,181.00JPY
Average target price
1,531.25JPY
Spread / Average Target
+29.66%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 8604 Stock
  4. Financials Nomura Holdings, Inc.
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