Projected Income Statement: Nippon Steel Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nippon Steel Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 21,99,766 21,02,300 20,28,940 22,62,751 18,34,966 44,98,351 43,14,654 43,37,746
Change - -4.43% -3.49% 11.52% -18.91% 145.15% -4.08% 0.54%
Announcement Date 07/05/21 10/05/22 10/05/23 09/05/24 09/05/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nippon Steel Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,59,811 4,66,902 4,70,018 4,66,345 5,97,938 9,82,000 9,95,000 10,10,000
Change - 1.54% 0.67% -0.78% 28.22% 64.23% 1.32% 1.51%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 14,150 2,36,700 1,91,256 2,99,505 5,16,165 -25,57,600 -1,93,275 -43,980
Change - 1,572.79% -19.2% 56.6% 72.34% -595.5% 92.44% 77.24%
Announcement Date 07/05/21 10/05/22 10/05/23 09/05/24 09/05/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nippon Steel Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.3% 18.95% 15.34% 12.87% 12.29% 9.65% 11.64% 12.2%
EBIT Margin (%) 0.24% 12.35% 11.08% 8.78% 6.3% 2.34% 6.23% 6.42%
EBT Margin (%) -0.18% 11.99% 10.87% 8.61% 6.03% 1.56% 5.46% 5.82%
Net margin (%) -0.67% 9.36% 8.7% 6.19% 4.03% -0.38% 3.56% 3.76%
FCF margin (%) 0.29% 3.48% 2.4% 3.38% 5.94% -25.32% -1.74% -0.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) -43.63% 37.14% 27.56% 54.52% 147.38% 6,693.78% -48.81% -10.14%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.12% 10% 9.46% 7.53% 4.84% -0.25% 3.07% 3.33%
ROE -1.2% 20.5% 18.1% 12.3% 6.9% -0.85% 7.56% 7.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.49x 1.63x 1.66x 1.98x 1.72x 4.62x 3.33x 3.08x
Debt / Free cash flow 155.46x 8.88x 10.61x 7.55x 3.55x -1.76x -22.32x -98.63x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.52% 6.86% 5.89% 5.26% 6.88% 9.72% 8.95% 8.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 114.69% 36.19% 38.41% 40.85% 55.97% 100.77% 76.83% 71.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 3,249.55% 197.25% 245.75% 155.71% 115.84% -38.4% -514.81% -2,296.5%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 56.14 210.2 224.6 198.2 147.4 19.2 271.2 283.2
Change - 274.53% 6.83% -11.78% -25.62% -86.97% 1,312.5% 4.42%
Dividend per Share 1 2 32 36 32 32 24 25.44 26.44
Change - 1,500% 12.5% -11.11% 0% -25% 6.02% 3.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 599.5 752.9 908.1 1,037 1,030 1,008 1,053 1,111
Change - 25.59% 20.61% 14.24% -0.71% -2.15% 4.46% 5.49%
EPS 1 -7.044 138.4 150.7 119.3 70.18 -7.334 76.4 83.4
Change - 2,065.25% 8.89% -20.84% -41.18% -110.45% 1,141.71% 9.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 46,03,833 46,03,744 46,04,254 46,04,085 52,25,998 52,26,303 52,26,303 52,26,303
Announcement Date 07/05/21 10/05/22 10/05/23 09/05/24 09/05/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio -80.9x 7.76x
PBR 0.59x 0.56x
EV / Sales 0.75x 0.67x
Yield 4.05% 4.29%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
593.20JPY
Average target price
714.44JPY
Spread / Average Target
+20.44%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 5401 Stock
  4. Financials Nippon Steel Corporation
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