Financials Ninety One Group Johannesburg S.E.

Equities

NY1

ZAE000282356

Investment Management & Fund Operators

End-of-day quote Johannesburg S.E. 03:30:00 09/05/2024 am IST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
38.9 ZAR -0.51% Intraday chart for Ninety One Group +1.83% -9.47%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 1,543 2,180 2,323 1,688 1,580 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 1,349 1,842 2,026 1,411 1,232 1,206 1,170
P/E ratio 10.3 x 14.1 x 11.4 x 10.2 x 10.8 x 11.2 x 10.6 x
Yield - 5.28% 5.73% 7.13% 6.71% 6.88% 7.18%
Capitalization / Revenue 2.62 x 3.61 x 3.5 x 2.69 x 2.68 x 2.68 x 2.51 x
EV / Revenue 2.29 x 3.05 x 3.05 x 2.25 x 2.09 x 2.04 x 1.86 x
EV / EBITDA 7.01 x 8.27 x 8.26 x 6.36 x 6.41 x 6.31 x 5.39 x
EV / FCF 1.69 x - 3.1 x 19.2 x 8.66 x 8.47 x 7.76 x
FCF Yield 59.3% - 32.2% 5.2% 11.5% 11.8% 12.9%
Price to Book 10.6 x 8.7 x 6.88 x 4.89 x 4.29 x 3.99 x 3.67 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 9,22,714 9,16,332 9,11,798 9,11,798 9,01,256 - -
Reference price 2 1.729 2.388 2.548 1.852 1.763 1.763 1.763
Announcement Date 20/05/20 19/05/21 18/05/22 17/05/23 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: March 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 540.6 588 603.5 663.9 627.1 590.5 590.5 629.5
EBITDA 1 - 192.4 222.8 245.4 221.7 192.4 191.1 217
EBIT 1 - 189.9 206.2 230.4 206.9 184.6 177.5 194.4
Operating Margin - 32.3% 34.17% 34.7% 32.99% 31.26% 30.06% 30.88%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - 198.5 204.1 267.1 212.6 194.5 192.6 205.6
Net income 1 139.8 155.4 154.4 205.3 163.8 147.7 141.6 149.4
Net margin 25.86% 26.43% 25.58% 30.92% 26.12% 25.01% 23.97% 23.74%
EPS 2 - 0.1680 0.1690 0.2240 0.1810 0.1638 0.1570 0.1660
Free Cash Flow 1 - 800.2 - 653.2 73.4 142.3 142.3 150.7
FCF margin - 136.09% - 98.39% 11.7% 24.1% 24.1% 23.94%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - 415.9% - 266.18% 33.11% 73.96% 74.47% 69.43%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - 514.93% - 318.17% 44.81% 96.36% 100.51% 100.84%
Dividend per Share 2 - - 0.1260 0.1460 0.1320 0.1183 0.1213 0.1265
Announcement Date 12/03/20 20/05/20 19/05/21 18/05/22 17/05/23 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: March 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2 2024 S1
Net sales 1 299.4 211.7 297.3 314.7 328.4 335.5 323.8 303.3 299.6
EBITDA - - - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 - 95.8 96.2 110 115.6 114.8 107.9 99 97.9
Operating Margin - 45.24% 32.36% 34.95% 35.2% 34.22% 33.32% 32.64% 32.68%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - 135 - - - - - - -
Net income 1 - 83.1 72.5 81.9 101.4 103.9 84.7 79.1 79.3
Net margin - 39.25% 24.39% 26.02% 30.88% 30.97% 26.16% 26.08% 26.47%
EPS 0.0851 - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 - - 0.0590 0.0670 0.0690 0.0770 0.0650 0.0670 0.0590
Announcement Date 12/03/20 20/05/20 17/11/20 19/05/21 16/11/21 18/05/22 15/11/22 17/05/23 15/11/23
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: March 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 - 195 338 297 277 347 374 410
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 - 800 - 653 73.4 142 142 151
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) - 90.2% 76.5% 69% 47.4% 40.1% 36.9% 36.7%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - 1.9% 1.76% 1.9% - - 1.24% 1.41%
Assets 1 - 8,196 8,778 10,793 - - 11,455 10,621
Book Value Per Share 2 - 0.1600 0.2700 0.3700 0.3800 0.4100 0.4400 0.4800
Cash Flow per Share 2 - 0.8800 0.5000 0.7100 0.0800 0.0700 -0.1000 -
Capex 1 - - - 1.4 1.2 11.8 11.9 12.5
Capex / Sales - - - 0.21% 0.19% 2% 2.02% 1.99%
Announcement Date 12/03/20 20/05/20 19/05/21 18/05/22 17/05/23 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
1.763 GBP
Average target price
1.843 GBP
Spread / Average Target
+4.56%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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