Projected Income Statement: Netcare Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Netcare Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,423 9,359 10,020 10,847 11,076 11,324 10,970 10,349
Change - -0.68% 7.06% 8.25% 2.11% 2.24% -3.13% -5.66%
Announcement Date 22/11/21 21/11/22 21/11/23 22/11/24 24/11/25 - - -
1ZAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Netcare Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,132 1,396 1,507 1,519 1,630 1,937 1,728 1,186
Change - 23.32% 7.95% 0.8% 7.31% 18.83% -10.79% -31.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,173 488 373 350 817 1,356 2,026 2,194
Change - -58.4% -23.57% -6.17% 133.43% 65.97% 49.39% 8.33%
Announcement Date 22/11/21 21/11/22 21/11/23 22/11/24 24/11/25 - - -
1ZAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Netcare Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.3% 16.11% 16.84% 17.82% 18.71% 18.98% 19.23% 19.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.79% 10.55% 11.46% 12.53% 13.57% 13.9% 14.29% 14.67%
EBT Margin (%) 5.55% 7.09% 7.62% 8.48% 9.58% 10.19% 10.92% 11.76%
Net margin (%) 3.63% 4.68% 5.57% 5.7% 6.38% 7.1% 7.54% 8.22%
FCF margin (%) 5.53% 2.26% 1.57% 1.39% 3.1% 4.92% 7.02% 7.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) 152.54% 48.17% 28.24% 24.37% 48.6% 69.24% 93.11% 88.5%

Profitability

        
ROA - 3.9% 4.89% 5.34% 5.84% 6.12% 6.09% 5.9%
ROE 8.07% 11.03% 12.06% 13.66% 15.42% 16.55% 17.17% 16.34%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.9x 2.69x 2.51x 2.42x 2.25x 2.16x 1.98x 1.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.03x 19.18x 26.86x 30.99x 13.56x 8.35x 5.42x 4.72x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.34% 6.45% 6.36% 6.03% 6.19% 7.03% 5.99% 3.93%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.9% 40.06% 37.77% 33.82% 33.08% 37.03% 31.12% 20.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 96.5% 286.07% 404.02% 434% 199.51% 142.85% 85.31% 54.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.715 1.398 1.398 1.44 1.964 2.318 2.629 2.922
Change - -18.51% 0.03% 3% 36.39% 18.01% 13.46% 11.14%
Dividend per Share 1 0.34 0.5 0.65 0.7 0.85 0.9742 1.097 1.221
Change - 47.06% 30% 7.69% 21.43% 14.61% 12.56% 11.38%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.429 7.656 8.441 8.753 9.121 8.977 9.74 10.98
Change - 3.06% 10.25% 3.7% 4.2% -1.58% 8.5% 12.75%
EPS 1 0.543 0.717 0.935 1.089 1.329 1.55 1.754 1.974
Change - 32.04% 30.4% 16.47% 22.04% 16.6% 13.18% 12.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,35,547 13,37,000 13,31,000 12,48,047 12,18,789 11,77,000 11,77,000 11,77,000
Announcement Date 22/11/21 21/11/22 21/11/23 22/11/24 24/11/25 - - -
1ZAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.5x 10.2x
PBR 1.99x 1.84x
EV / Sales 1.17x 1.11x
Yield 5.45% 6.13%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
17.88ZAR
Average target price
18.64ZAR
Spread / Average Target
+4.25%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. NTC Stock
  4. NTCP Stock
  5. Financials Netcare Limited