Projected Income Statement: Metcash Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Metcash Limited

Fiscal Period: April 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -86.7 -125 189 1,399 1,314 1,806 1,853 1,873
Change - -44.18% 251.2% 640.21% -6.08% 37.44% -5.8% 1.08%
Announcement Date 21/06/20 27/06/21 26/06/22 25/06/23 23/06/24 22/06/25 - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Metcash Limited

Fiscal Period: April 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 61.5 85.6 121.7 372.7 135.9 148.5 202 150.3
Change - 39.19% 42.17% 206.24% -63.54% 9.27% 0.21% -25.58%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 56 389.9 310.6 220.6 346.7 390.5 326.3 400.5
Change - 596.25% -20.34% -28.98% 57.16% 12.63% 16.7% 22.73%
Announcement Date 21/06/20 27/06/21 26/06/22 25/06/23 23/06/24 22/06/25 - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Metcash Limited

Fiscal Period: April 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.78% 3.95% 4.27% 4.28% 4.33% 4.32% 4.37% 4.55%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.57% 2.8% 3.11% 3.17% 3.12% 2.93% 2.9% 3.07%
EBT Margin (%) 0.11% 2.39% 2.36% 2.38% 2.34% 2.23% 2.2% 2.33%
Net margin (%) -0.44% 1.67% 1.62% 1.64% 1.62% 1.64% 1.58% 1.66%
FCF margin (%) 0.43% 2.72% 2.05% 1.4% 2.18% 2.25% 1.89% 2.26%
FCF / Net Income (%) -98.59% 163.14% 126.57% 85.17% 134.8% 137.84% 119.62% 136.17%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.75% 5.01% 5.96% 5.81% 4.7% 4.47% 5.6% 6.14%
ROE 15.31% 19.17% 25.39% 28.56% 19.68% 17.53% 16.27% 16.9%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.29x 2.07x 1.91x 2.42x 2.45x 2.33x
Debt / Free cash flow - - 0.61x 6.34x 3.79x 4.62x 5.68x 4.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.47% 0.6% 0.8% 2.36% 0.85% 0.86% 1.17% 0.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.5% 15.15% 18.78% 55.15% 19.74% 19.86% 26.71% 18.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 109.82% 21.95% 39.18% 168.95% 39.2% 38.03% 61.91% 37.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1291 0.4638 0.4383 0.3847 0.4827 0.4918 0.435 0.4927
Change - 259.28% -5.5% -12.23% 25.48% 1.88% 19.19% 13.26%
Dividend per Share 1 0.125 0.175 0.215 0.225 0.22 0.18 0.1746 0.1931
Change - 40% 22.86% 4.65% -2.22% -18.18% -1.84% 10.6%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.491 1.252 1.118 1.112 1.4 1.48 1.564 1.644
Change - -16.02% -10.66% -0.58% 25.92% 5.7% 5.03% 5.14%
EPS 1 -0.062 0.233 0.25 0.268 0.257 0.259 0.2447 0.2704
Change - 475.81% 7.3% 7.2% -4.1% 0.78% -0.02% 10.5%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,16,400 10,22,363 9,65,542 9,65,542 10,91,554 10,99,726 10,99,726 10,99,726
Announcement Date 21/06/20 27/06/21 26/06/22 25/06/23 23/06/24 22/06/25 - -
1AUD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 12.4x 12.1x
PBR 2.18x 1.89x
EV / Sales 0.31x 0.3x
Yield 5.59% 5.9%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
2.960AUD
Average target price
3.770AUD
Spread / Average Target
+27.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MTS Stock
  4. Financials Metcash Limited
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