Projected Income Statement: McDonald's Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 30,914 33,320 32,574 37,339 39,199 39,360 39,611 39,153
Change - 7.78% -2.24% 14.63% 4.98% 0.41% 0.64% -1.16%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 31/01/23 05/02/24 10/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,040 1,899 2,357 2,775 3,365 3,744 3,945 4,014
Change - -6.9% 24.13% 17.71% 21.26% 11.25% 5.39% 1.74%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,102 5,488 7,254 6,672 7,186 7,752 8,935 9,682
Change - -22.73% 32.2% -8.03% 7.7% 7.87% 15.27% 8.36%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 31/01/23 05/02/24 10/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 51.41% 46.38% 54.88% 54.4% 55.12% 55.2% 55.78% 56.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 43.37% 44.78% 47.1% 46.31% 46.94% 47.16% 47.59% 48.02%
EBT Margin (%) 39.31% 33.76% 41.27% 39.91% 40.53% 41.33% 42.22% 42.63%
Net margin (%) 32.49% 26.65% 33.22% 31.72% 31.85% 32.13% 32.89% 32.78%
FCF margin (%) 30.58% 23.67% 28.46% 25.74% 26.73% 27.21% 29.61% 30.54%
FCF / Net Income (%) 94.12% 88.83% 85.66% 81.14% 83.92% 84.68% 90.03% 93.17%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.2% 11.85% 15.89% 14.77% 14.93% 15.33% 15.92% 16.06%
ROE - - - - - 8,105.36% 456.08% 260.41%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.59x 3.1x 2.33x 2.65x 2.65x 2.5x 2.35x 2.2x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.35x 6.07x 4.49x 5.6x 5.45x 5.08x 4.43x 4.04x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.78% 8.19% 9.25% 10.71% 12.52% 13.14% 13.08% 12.66%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.09% 17.66% 16.85% 19.68% 22.71% 23.8% 23.45% 22.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.73% 34.61% 32.5% 41.59% 46.83% 48.3% 44.16% 41.46%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.16 9.964 13.13 13.09 14.73 16.36 17.89 19.53
Change - -18.05% 31.72% -0.3% 12.54% 11.06% 9.4% 9.15%
Dividend per Share 1 5.25 5.66 6.23 6.78 7.17 7.489 7.885 8.432
Change - 7.81% 10.07% 8.83% 5.75% 4.45% 5.29% 6.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 -6.178 -8.098 -6.427 -5.26 -2.52 1.268 5.263 9.183
Change - -31.1% 20.64% 18.17% 52.08% 150.29% 315.19% 74.49%
EPS 1 10.04 8.33 11.56 11.39 11.95 12.9 14.11 15.11
Change - -17.03% 38.78% -1.47% 4.92% 7.93% 9.44% 7.04%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,47,245 7,32,424 7,25,342 7,16,620 7,12,154 7,10,506 7,10,506 7,10,506
Announcement Date 27/01/22 31/01/23 05/02/24 10/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 22.1x 20.2x
PBR 225x 54.1x
EV / Sales 8.48x 8.02x
Yield 2.63% 2.77%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
34
Last Close Price
284.81USD
Average target price
331.29USD
Spread / Average Target
+16.32%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MCD Stock
  4. Financials McDonald's Corporation
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