Projected Income Statement: Matador Resources Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Matador Resources Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,479 613 2,100 3,231 3,323 3,618 2,920 2,710
Change - -58.55% 242.58% 53.86% 2.85% 8.89% -19.29% -7.19%
Announcement Date 22/02/22 21/02/23 20/02/24 18/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Matador Resources Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 733.5 1,084 1,550 1,967 2,183 1,512 1,551 1,573
Change - 47.79% 42.97% 26.91% 11.01% -30.74% 2.58% 1.41%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 320.9 1,013 268 267 65.46 989.8 1,142 1,202
Change - 215.62% -73.54% -0.39% -75.48% 1,412.26% 15.35% 5.29%
Announcement Date 22/02/22 21/02/23 20/02/24 18/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Matador Resources Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 63.26% 69.56% 65.9% 65.59% 62.08% 68.81% 66.53% 68.06%
EBIT Margin (%) 47.69% 57.53% 43.09% 40.93% 33.18% 36.56% 39.34% 39.87%
EBT Margin (%) 43.02% 55.12% 39.06% 36.05% 27.96% 25.44% 33.84% 33.2%
Net margin (%) 35.18% 39.71% 30.14% 25.26% 20.54% 18.28% 25.45% 26.32%
FCF margin (%) 19.29% 33.12% 9.55% 7.62% 1.77% 26.35% 25.98% 27.73%
FCF / Net Income (%) 54.85% 83.4% 31.67% 30.15% 8.62% 144.15% 102.09% 105.39%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.73% 25.77% 12.22% 9.53% 6.73% 8.07% 7.96% -
ROE 31.69% 46.46% 23.12% 19.67% 14.13% 14.29% 14.94% 13.18%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.41x 0.29x 1.14x 1.41x 1.45x 1.4x 1x 0.92x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.61x 0.61x 7.84x 12.1x 50.76x 3.66x 2.56x 2.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 44.11% 35.45% 55.22% 56.12% 59.07% 40.26% 35.3% 36.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 69.72% 50.96% 83.79% 85.56% 95.15% 58.51% 53.05% 53.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 228.6% 107.04% 578.31% 736.76% 3,335.68% 152.77% 135.85% 130.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.848 17.45 15.15 18 18.05 20.38 21.95 22.08
Change - 97.26% -13.19% 18.83% 0.26% 12.89% 7.72% 0.61%
Dividend per Share 1 0.125 0.3 0.65 0.85 - 1.525 1.63 1.707
Change - 140% 116.67% 30.77% - - 6.87% 4.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 27.89 32.74 40.7 45.53 53.19 64.19 81.31
Change - - 17.39% 24.31% 11.88% 16.82% 20.68% 26.66%
EPS 1 4.91 10.11 7.05 7.14 6.09 5.626 8.97 9.146
Change - 105.91% -30.27% 1.28% -14.71% -7.62% 59.44% 1.97%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,17,336 1,18,162 1,19,135 1,24,773 1,24,271 1,24,178 1,24,178 1,24,178
Announcement Date 22/02/22 21/02/23 20/02/24 18/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.84x 5.55x
PBR 0.94x 0.78x
EV / Sales 2.61x 2.07x
Yield 3.06% 3.28%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
49.76USD
Average target price
72.05USD
Spread / Average Target
+44.80%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MTDR Stock
  4. Financials Matador Resources Company