Financials Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. Shanghai S.E.

Equities

601238

CNE100001NQ2

Auto & Truck Manufacturers

End-of-day quote Shanghai S.E. 03:30:00 29/04/2024 am IST 5-day change 1st Jan Change
8.92 CNY +2.88% Intraday chart for Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. +4.57% +1.94%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 1,10,293 1,18,675 1,29,707 95,508 74,972 75,419 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 91,731 1,05,224 1,21,684 75,294 53,708 67,433 46,217 36,893
P/E ratio 13.3 x 12.5 x 8.58 x - 7.86 x 6.06 x 5.49 x 5.62 x
Yield 2.31% 2.48% 3.51% - 4.55% 4.91% 5.96% 6.55%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.86 x 1.89 x 1.73 x 0.87 x 0.58 x 0.55 x 0.46 x 0.44 x
EV / Revenue 1.55 x 1.68 x 1.62 x 0.69 x 0.42 x 0.5 x 0.28 x 0.22 x
EV / EBITDA 9.32 x 9.95 x 9.59 x 5.42 x 5.62 x 15.4 x 7.44 x 4.52 x
EV / FCF -8.79 x -11.2 x -10.4 x -5.69 x -11.4 x -40.8 x -33.5 x -32.5 x
FCF Yield -11.4% -8.9% -9.62% -17.6% -8.77% -2.45% -2.99% -3.08%
Price to Book 1.11 x 0.89 x 0.71 x - - 0.27 x 0.26 x 0.25 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,02,37,708 1,03,40,032 1,03,58,187 1,04,63,958 1,04,88,743 1,04,86,904 - -
Reference price 2 8.669 7.255 6.266 4.646 3.299 3.071 3.071 3.071
Announcement Date 31/03/20 25/03/21 30/03/22 29/03/23 28/03/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 59,234 62,717 75,110 1,09,335 1,28,757 1,36,163 1,64,875 1,70,687
EBITDA 1 9,847 10,575 12,695 13,891 9,560 4,367 6,208 8,171
EBIT 1 5,682 5,638 7,145 7,456 3,283 -4,091 -2,791 -3,004
Operating Margin 9.59% 8.99% 9.51% 6.82% 2.55% -3% -1.69% -1.76%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 6,294 5,695 7,237 7,463 3,525 4,666 7,029 5,175
Net income 1 6,618 5,966 7,335 8,068 4,429 6,156 7,142 5,762
Net margin 11.17% 9.51% 9.77% 7.38% 3.44% 4.52% 4.33% 3.38%
EPS 2 0.6500 0.5800 0.7300 - 0.4200 0.5069 0.5597 0.5460
Free Cash Flow 1 -10,438 -9,370 -11,707 -13,221 -4,710 -1,652 -1,380 -1,136
FCF margin -17.62% -14.94% -15.59% -12.09% -3.66% -1.21% -0.84% -0.67%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 0.2000 0.1800 0.2200 - 0.1500 0.1509 0.1831 0.2012
Announcement Date 31/03/20 25/03/21 30/03/22 29/03/23 28/03/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 S2 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 Q4 2021 S2 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 S1 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 31,353 25,642 37,515 34,572 19,993 41,104 23,145 25,421 48,689 31,678 29,359 26,393 35,518 36,069 31,101 21,346 33,905 35,786 68,941 - -
EBITDA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 - - -2,015 -2,360 1,951 -2,637 2,854 -1,440 - 2,102 -382.8 1,145 -1,476 1,480 -582.6 960.7 -1,795 -1,179 -2,508 - -
Operating Margin - - -5.37% -6.83% 9.76% -6.41% 12.33% -5.67% - 6.64% -1.3% 4.34% -4.16% 4.1% -1.87% 4.5% -5.3% -3.3% -3.64% - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1,316 - 3,442 - 2,035 - - 2,888 - 2,098 -380.2 1,153 - 1,477 -321.9 - - - - - -
Net income 1,698 2,318 3,646 - 2,051 3,175 3,009 2,742 5,751 2,312 6.018 1,538 - 1,545 -81.91 - - - - - -
Net margin 5.41% 9.04% 9.72% - 10.26% 7.72% 13% 10.79% 11.81% 7.3% 0.02% 5.83% - 4.28% -0.26% - - - - - -
EPS 2 0.1700 0.2300 0.3500 0.4200 0.2200 0.3100 0.2900 0.2600 0.5500 0.2300 - - 0.1300 - - - 0.1100 0.1300 0.1400 - -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.1542 - -
Announcement Date 31/03/20 28/08/20 25/03/21 30/08/21 30/03/22 30/03/22 27/04/22 30/08/22 30/08/22 27/10/22 29/03/23 28/04/23 25/08/23 26/10/23 28/03/24 26/04/24 - - - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 18,561 13,451 8,023 20,213 21,264 7,986 29,203 38,526
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 -10,438 -9,370 -11,707 -13,221 -4,710 -1,652 -1,380 -1,136
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 8.46% 7.27% 8.6% 7.93% 3.87% 4.15% 4.76% 4.6%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 4.91% 4.26% 5.06% 4.64% 2.17% 2.34% 2.48% 2.32%
Assets 1 1,34,777 1,40,109 1,45,073 1,74,002 2,04,116 2,63,118 2,31,667 2,48,903
Book Value Per Share 2 7.830 8.150 8.810 - - 11.50 12.00 12.10
Cash Flow per Share 2 -0.0400 -0.2800 -0.5400 - - 0.6500 0.6200 0.8900
Capex 1 10,057 6,483 6,118 7,873 11,437 6,748 9,034 6,520
Capex / Sales 16.98% 10.34% 8.15% 7.2% 8.88% 4.96% 5.48% 3.82%
Announcement Date 31/03/20 25/03/21 30/03/22 29/03/23 28/03/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
3.071 CNY
Average target price
4.385 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+42.78%
Consensus
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