Projected Income Statement: Great Portland Estates Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Great Portland Estates Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 590 527 718 816 771 861 822 796
Change - -10.68% 36.24% 13.65% -5.51% 11.72% -4.53% -3.16%
Announcement Date 19/05/22 24/05/23 24/05/24 21/05/25 21/05/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Great Portland Estates Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 120.9 120.6 128.4 147.3 75.2 196.7 137.4 136.9
Change - -0.25% 6.47% 14.72% -48.95% 161.62% -30.15% -0.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -114.2 -122.3 -7.7 -4.6 -31.3 -33.1 -21.4 -18.5
Change - -7.09% 93.7% 40.26% -580.43% -5.75% 35.35% 13.55%
Announcement Date 19/05/22 24/05/23 24/05/24 21/05/25 21/05/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Great Portland Estates Plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.87% 23.57% 22.33% 22.51% 21.29% 45.34% 48.32% 57.45%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.34% 21.71% 20.65% 20.7% 20.61% 44.67% 47.51% 60.13%
EBT Margin (%) 197.98% -179.82% -322.64% 125.05% 129.35% 120.86% 124.32% 131.82%
Net margin (%) 198.57% -179.71% -322.64% 123.14% 131.04% 143.08% 131.89% 134.04%
FCF margin (%) -135.63% -134.1% -8.07% -4.88% -26.55% -27.61% -15.21% -13.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) -68.3% 74.62% 2.5% -3.97% -20.26% -19.3% -11.53% -9.78%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.03% 0.91% 0.72% 0.73% 1.12% 3.52% 3.55% 4.9%
ROE 1.34% 1.19% 1.02% 1.13% 1.67% 1.95% 2.07% 2.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 19.53x 24.52x 33.69x 38.47x 30.71x 15.84x 12.09x 9.81x
Debt / Free cash flow -5.16x -4.31x -93.18x -177.28x -24.62x -26.02x -38.41x -43x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 143.59% 132.24% 134.59% 156.37% 63.78% 164.09% 97.65% 97.01%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 400.33% 560.93% 602.82% 694.81% 299.6% 361.91% 202.08% 168.88%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -105.87% -98.61% -1,667.53% -3,202.17% -240.26% -594.36% -642.19% -740.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0265 -0.0067 -0.03 -0.0104 -0.0768 0.1007 0.1125 0.1246
Change - -125.31% -347.76% 65.33% -638.46% 231.11% 11.76% 10.69%
Dividend per Share 1 0.126 0.126 0.126 0.079 0.082 0.0874 0.0975 0.1021
Change - 0% 0% -37.3% 3.8% 6.65% 11.53% 4.64%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.352 9.906 6.257 4.961 5.272 5.652 6.025 6.469
Change - 18.62% -36.83% -20.72% 6.27% 7.21% 6.6% 7.38%
EPS 1 0.66 -0.648 -1.217 0.301 0.381 0.4042 0.4455 0.4811
Change - -198.18% -87.81% 124.73% 26.58% 6.08% 10.23% 7.99%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,52,991 2,52,842 2,52,981 4,04,795 4,03,410 4,03,506 4,03,506 4,03,506
Announcement Date 19/05/22 24/05/23 24/05/24 21/05/25 21/05/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 8.39x 7.61x
PBR 0.6x 0.56x
EV / Sales 18.6x 15.6x
Yield 2.58% 2.88%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
3.390GBP
Average target price
3.861GBP
Spread / Average Target
+13.91%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. GPOR Stock
  4. Financials Great Portland Estates Plc